Home run picks are PRO Projections’ hot ticket lately.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr., for example, has homered five times the last six games. He was PRO Projections best bet to go yard on Saturday, Tuesday and yesterday – all correct predictions.
In fact, our advanced MLB models nailed both home run picks last night, producing a couple wins better than +500.
Diving into PRO Report Thursday, the best bets from expert projections feature a couple home run picks today in White Sox vs. Rangers (2:35 p.m. ET) and Rays vs. Blue Jays (3:07 p.m).
Laying the groundwork for Thursday, here are the hitters our expert projections show value on to hit a homer for July 25.
MLB Home Run Picks Today | Best Bets from Expert Projections (July 25)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays)
PRO Projections continue to ride Guerrero’s hot streak, pegging him as the best bet yet again.
Guerrero, who’s been pumping homers out of Rogers Centre left and right lately, is +525 as the best odds to homer Thursday. We predict the red-hot Guerrero Jr. for about 0.27 home runs on average today factoring in the matchup vs. Taj Bradley.
The discrepancy between market odds and expert projections formulates a cool 7.7% edge and B- grade on Guerrero Jr. to homer for the sixth time in seven games.
Eloy Jimenez (White Sox)
The second-largest edge isn’t as gaudy, but still playable. Here, PRO Projections highlighted Jimenez as a promising hitter to send one out of Globe Life Field vs. Max Scherzer and the Rangers.
Our projections tab Jimenez for 0.24 homers Thursday in Texas – a good bet at +550 (6% edge), which is available as his best home run odds.
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