PRO Projections’ best bet in the strikeout props market today is Tigers starting pitcher Tarik Skubal’s over/under.
Skubal, the AL Cy Young favorite midway through the season, will be in the spotlight in the series opener for Tigers vs. Guardians, set for 6:40 p.m. ET.
The left-handed Skubal’s strikeout over/under tonight is set at 6.5. Expert projections, meanwhile, rolled out a completely different number.
Our PRO Projections are state-of-the-art betting models designed by our in-house specialists. By comparing PRO Projections with odds in the betting markets, we assist bettors in identifying valuable picks and market inefficiencies. Each pick and betting projection is evaluated using a straightforward grading scale that ranges from A, B and C.
Today’s best bet is a good one! Skubal’s pick was tagged with a grade-A recommendation.
Tarik Skubal Strikeout Props: MLB Projections Best Bet (July 22)
Consensus odds present Skubal’s strikeouts line at 6.5, but PRO Projections offer deeper insight, projecting his strikeouts at 5.26.
This discrepancy reveals an 18.4% edge on the under, earning the pick an A grade. Such a divergence from markets odds implies a solid betting opportunity in the strikeout props market for July 22.
Several factors contribute to this projection for Skubal. Cleveland’s lineup has demonstrated a consistent ability to make contact, sporting one of the lower strikeout rates in the league.
This situational context is pivotal, as it aligns with the advanced metrics of professional bettors who often exploit these nuanced angles. Therefore, while Skubal’s season-long dominance is acknowledged, the specific matchup dynamics against a contact-heavy Guardians lineup playing at home shouldn’t be overlooked.
PRO Props Pick: Tarik Skubal Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-117)
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