Giants vs. Guardians in the early window is an ideal way to start the July 7 MLB betting slate. Among the assortment of betting options available for Sunday’s game, one prop bet stands out in particular: Guardians pitcher Carlos Carrasco’s over/under on strikeouts.
A keen eye for market inefficiencies can make all the difference in a tough market like baseball. Enter MLB strikeout props — a goldmine for those equipped with the right analytical tools.
Carrasco’s over/under for strikeouts Sunday in Giants vs. Guardians (1:40 p.m. ET) emerges as a smart play via our PRO Projections, which pop whenever our projections differ drastically from the market.
Also, projections flagged Carrasco’s prop as a Grade-A selection. It’s the largest edge among the six games on the early card on Sunday, July 7.
MLB Strikeout Props for July 7 | Projections Value Pick
For context, the current betting line places Carrasco’s strikeouts at 5.5 with odds of -165 at DraftKings on the under.
PRO Projections, however, estimate Carrasco’s strikeout total to be much lower, projecting him at an even four punch-outs today. The projection yields a significant edge of 16.7% on the under.
Diving deeper into these projections, our model’s grade for this pick is an impressive ‘A-.’ The strength of the prediction not only encapsulates Carrasco’s recent performances but also factors in his matchup against a disciplined Giants lineup.
The strength of the PRO Projections signal lies in its ability to synthesize a bunch of variables — pitcher form, opposing lineup tendencies and historical data— presenting a ripe opportunity for sharp bettors in the early window.
PRO MLB Props Pick: Carlos Carrasco Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-165)
_InlineAdBlock
Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.