In tonight’s NL series between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets opens, all eyes will be on one of baseball’s most promising talents: starting pitcher Paul Skenes.
As the NL Rookie of the Year favorite, Skenes has captivated fans with his strong performances in the first half of the season. His dominance on the mound has made him a popular figure in MLB circles, and Friday’s 6:40 p.m. ET home start vs. the Mets adds another layer of intrigue to the betting landscape surrounding Skenes.
For bettors looking to capitalize on this game, the lines offer a range of opportunities. The Pirates are favorites at -133, while the Mets are priced at +122. The total for this game is set at 8.5, with odds evenly matched at -110 for both sides of the over-under.
However, amid these options, one particular prop bet emerges as a compelling choice: Skenes over/under 7.5 strikeouts.
MLB Strikeout Prop Bets | Paul Skenes Over/Under Pick (July 5)
Tonight’s betting recommendation stands out, not just because of raw statistics, but due to analytically driven insights bolstered by PRO Projections.
After accounting for the Mets lineup, our advanced projections peg Skenes’ strikeout total at 6.6. This number reflects a significant deviation from the public line of 7.5 strikeouts.
The edge post-lineups is the single smartest pick from PRO Projections across all July 5 MLB props.
PRO Projections Pick: Paul Skenes Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+115)
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