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Red Sox vs Yankees MLB Props | 5 Best Bets, Projections (July 5)

The real fireworks begin tonight for bettors: Red Sox vs. Yankees props are plastered all over PRO Report, providing big betting edges from professional MLB projections for July 5.

The five best prop bets on Friday for Yankees-Sox in our expert database range from over/under hits to home runs to RBIs. Four of them are plus-money picks.

Our PRO Projections are crafted using advanced analytics and back-tested data, ensuring that our figures account for variables more accurately than general market odds.

It’s the best rivalry in baseball, plus five MLB props packed with juicy edges for Red Sox vs. Yankees – let’s have a night!


Red Sox vs. Yankees Props | 5 Best Bets, Projections (July 5)


Anthony Volpe (NYY) Under 0.5 Singles (-108)

Given the advanced metrics and signals, betting on Volpe under 0.5 singles is a strong value play.

PRO Projections show a significant edge, projecting Volpe to average just 0.46 singles on Friday. This 11.2% edge indicates a profitable discrepancy between the betting markets and our expert projections.

Coupled with the odds of -108 at Caesars, the ‘under’ stands out due to favorable analytical backing.

Alex Verdugo (NYY) Over 0.5 RBI (+200)

Taking Verdugo to record an RBI in the series opener offers substantial value due to a blend of factors highlighted by advanced analytics.

Verdugo’s projection of 0.56 RBIs against a line set at just 0.5 provides a solid 9.5% edge — an underrated detail that becomes significant at a payout of +200 at BetMGM.

Moreover, it’s a revenge game for Verdugo, and we anticipate heightened motivation and focus as he faces his former team.

Juan Soto (NYY) Over 0.5 RBI (+195)

Soto’s consistent performance at the plate, reflected in his ability to drive in runs, aligns seamlessly with an ‘over’ play tonight.

Soto’s odds of driving in a run are set at +195 (DraftKings), providing an appealing 9.0% edge and B-grade compared to our Soto RBI projections tonight (0.56).

Rafael Devers (BOS) Over 0.5 RBI (+175)

Another RBI play is on Devers, who PRO Projections place at 0.6 RBIs for Friday’s game, comfortably above the line of 0.5.

The projection difference, combined with the attractive odds of +175 (BetMGM), indicates a solid 8.8% edge.

Devers has been a consistent run producer, leading his team in RBIs this season.

Masataka Yoshida (BOS) to Hit a Home Run (+900)

PRO Projections’ best home-run bet edge in Red Sox-Yankees is on Yoshida, whose best odds are at BetMGM.

Our prediction of 0.17 homers for Yoshida compared to 9-1 in the market translates to a 5.6% edge.

He’ll have a solid advantage hitting from the left side of the plate with the short porch at Yankee Stadium.

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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI signals that hit a high-grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.


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