It’s Dinger Tuesday! PRO Projections analyzed the data and identified a couple of MLB hitters with strong betting value to hit a home run on July 9.
Today’s shortlist of candidates features a hitter-friendly ballpark edge and another where the wind’s blowing out.
For newer bettors, FanDuel Sportsbook runs a promotion called “Dinger Tuesday.” Bettors can place a $25+ bet on a player to hit a home run, and if the chosen player doesn’t hit one, bettors will still get $5 back for each homer hit in that game with a maximum refund of $25.
We used our analytically-driven PRO Projections to find hitters in favorable matchups. Here are the top Dinger Tuesday picks and a couple of bets for July 9 that our models rolled out.
Dinger Tuesday Picks: MLB Projections, Home Run Bets for July 9
Prior to lineups being released Tuesday, Charlie Blackmon of the Rockies is the top home run edge of July 9.
Blackmon significantly benefits from an enhanced opportunity for long balls playing in the hitter-friendly confines of Great American Ball Park tonight. The Reds’ home stadium is known for being the No. 1 stadium for homers in 2024.
This ballpark factor is crucial, considering the Rockies’ recent shutout. That means they have a chance to bounce back offensively in Cincinnati tonight.
Our PRO Projections’ signal presents a compelling analytical edge on the Rockies vet to bash one out Tuesday. Blackmon is projected at 0.17 HRs compared to a market price of +1060 at FanDuel. This creates an attractive 7.0% edge, signaling a potential mispricing by the betting markets.
PRO Projections Pick: Charlie Blackmon to Hit a HR (+1060)
Ryan Mountcastle of the Orioles is another player PRO Projections highlighted — and there’s a potential weather edge here at play.
When the Cubs take on the Orioles on Tuesday, Camden Yards will feature 9 mph winds blowing out to left field. This perhaps boosts a right-handed slugger like Mountcastle, who plays alongside a bunch of boppers in the O’s lineup.
[gameforecast league=”mlb” gameid=”228980″ date=”2024-07-09″][/gameforecast]
We project Mountcastle for 0.21 homers tonight. Although the 3.8% edge on Mountcastle to go long tonight isn’t the gaudiest, his +600 odds are the best to take of any player in the Cubs vs. Orioles game tonight, according to our expert models.
PRO Projections Pick: Ryan Mountcastle to Hit a HR (+600)
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.