Some of the top home run predictions today in PRO feature notable sluggers.
Our advanced baseball betting models ran the data for June 29 and submitted a bunch of hitters to play and fade today based on matchups, park factors, trends and more. PRO Projections are essential to betting on home run bets because they utilize advanced models to highlight discrepancies between the projected outcomes and market odds, providing bettors with an edge grounded in thorough analysis.
Both home run predictions today are in the earlier windows, with first pitches at 1:10 p.m. ET (Rockies vs. White Sox) and 3:07 p.m (Yankees vs. Blue Jays).
Both MLB props are value picks priced at +440 or better using odds from FanDuel.
Home Run Predictions Today | MLB Value Picks (June 29)
Vlad Guerrero Jr. (+440)
Let’s delve into the numbers. The betting lines currently list Guerrero Jr.’s home run prop with odds of +450 today vs. the Yankees. Our advanced PRO Projections, however, estimate Guerrero’s likelihood of hitting a home run at 33%. This discrepancy translates to an edge of 9.9%, marking a Grade B- pick.
Guerrero Jr. is known for his exceptional power at the plate. His recent form and historical performance against the Yankees further bolster the attractiveness of this bet.
Eloy Jimenez (+450)
Another bopper with value to go yard Saturday is Jimenez, with odds set at an enticing +450.
For today’s home game vs. the Rockies, PRO Projections signal a 0.31 home run projection for Jimenez, suggesting a 7.0% edge over the market.
Adding to the calculated edge, the White Sox slugger is known for his power and ability to drive the ball long, especially against opposing pitchers with lower strikeout rates.
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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.