Use the bet35 bonus code TOPACTION to bet on the Pittsburgh Pirates and Jack Suwinski.

MLB Home Run Picks, Predictions: Reds vs Pirates

PRO MLB Projections are all over Reds vs. Pirates on Monday in a big way.

In fact, our home run projections are bullish on a bunch of hitters in today’s Reds vs. Pirates game: Three of our top four betting projection picks are hitters in the Reds vs. Pirates game to go yard.

And what better way to get in on the action with Dinger Tuesday fast approaching?

Our MLB projections run numbers every day and pump out the best predictions, including players to bet on and others to fade. Tonight’s Reds vs. Pirates game is full of MLB home run picks and predictions.


MLB odds via FanDuel, June 24


MLB Home Run Picks, Predictions

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Jack Suwinski (+520)” subtext=”” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]

For those looking to deepen their analysis and find a prop bet with substantial value, Suwinski hitting a home run stands out as an excellent betting opportunity.

In this particular matchup, Suwinski’s fit against the Reds’ pitching staff aligns well with our projections. We peg the left-handed Suwinski for 0.27 dongs on average in tonight’s matchup — a solid B- edge when stacked up to odds of +520 at FanDuel.

It’s the largest edge of the entire June 24 card among MLB home run picks and predictions.

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Oneil Cruz (+450)” subtext=”” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]

Consensus odds for Cruz are currently set at +450 for him to hit a home run, but PRO Projections signal a substantial edge. Cruz’s recent form at the plate, combined with his power-hitting capabilities, aligns well with our analytically-driven models.

PRO Projections predict a probability of 0.28 for Cruz to homer at Great American Ball Park tonight, revealing a notable discrepancy. This projection equates to a 6.2% edge, which is a significant indicator of value for this player prop.

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Rowdy Tellez (+390)” subtext=”” center=”false” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/mlb/100/pit.png” link1=”” link1follow=”true” logo2url=”” link2=”” link2follow=”true” trailinglogourl=”” trailinglink=”” trailinglinkfollow=”true”][/subheader]

Why bet on Rowdy Tellez to homer? Currently, consensus odds have Tellez to homer listed at +390, a number significantly longer than our PRO Projections, which suggest a strong value opportunity.

The edge for this bet is quantified at 5.5%, propelled by data that projects Tellez’s likelihood to homer at 0.3.

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Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.

 


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