NBA Best Bets: Picks for Knicks vs Pacers, Nuggets vs Timberwolves (May 12)

The NBA playoffs continue on Mother’s Day and our betting experts have come through with a trio of bets, including picks for both Knicks vs. Pacers and Nuggets vs. Timberwolves.

Both games offer plenty of intrigue, so let’s dig right into today’s NBA best bets and picks.

NBA Best Bets Today

Game	Time (ET)	Pick
[teammatchup link=”#1″ firstfullname=”New York Knicks” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/new-york-knicks-updated-logo-2023.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]	3:30 p.m.	Pacers -5.5
[teammatchup link=”#2″ firstfullname=”New York Knicks” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/new-york-knicks-updated-logo-2023.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]	3:30 p.m.	Jalen Brunson Under 3.5 Rebounds
[teammatchup link=”#3″ firstfullname=”New York Knicks” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/new-york-knicks-updated-logo-2023.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]	3:30 p.m	Pacers -5.5
[teammatchup link=”#4″ firstfullname=”Denver Nuggets” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/725847_nba_den_150x150.png” secondfullname=”Minnesota Timberwolves” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/nba-updated-logo-minnesota-timberwolves.png”][/teammatchup]	8:00 p.m.	Nuggets Moneyline
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

[anchor name=”1″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Knicks vs. Pacers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Pacers -5.5″ league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/new-york-knicks-updated-logo-2023.png” awayname=”New York Knicks” awayslug=”new-york-knicks” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” homename=”Indiana Pacers” homeslug=”indiana-pacers” date=”Sunday, May 12″ time=”3:30 p.m. ET” network=”ABC” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Michael Fiddle

The Knicks have officially ruled out OG Anunoby and are coming off a five-point loss. However, the line reopened at 5.5 instead of at seven, which is where it closed for Game 2.

To me, this is a full point of value in the pricing. There is also a ton of tickets on the Knicks, but the line is either sticking at the 5.5 or moving to 6. There has been no Knicks movement despite the volume of bets on that side. This can sometimes be referred to as Reverse Line Movement, and a reason to back the Pacers. I know myself, along with the books, will be rooting for Pacers -5.5 to cover, and its good when you and the house have the same side.

Pick: Pacers -5.5

[teammatchup link=”#1″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Knicks” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/new-york-knicks-updated-logo-2023.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#2″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Knicks” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/new-york-knicks-updated-logo-2023.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#3″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”New York Knicks” firstlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/new-york-knicks-updated-logo-2023.png” secondfullname=”Indiana Pacers” secondlogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png”][/teammatchup]

[teammatchup link=”#4″ shadow=”true” firstfullname=”Denver Nuggets” firstlogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/725847_nba_den_150x150.png” secondfullname=”Minnesota Timberwolves” secondlogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/nba-updated-logo-minnesota-timberwolves.png”][/teammatchup]

[anchor name=”2″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Knicks vs. Pacers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Jalen Brunson Under 3.5 Rebounds” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/new-york-knicks-updated-logo-2023.png” awayname=”New York Knicks” awayslug=”new-york-knicks” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” homename=”Indiana Pacers” homeslug=”indiana-pacers” date=”Sunday, May 12″ time=”3:30 p.m. ET” network=”ABC” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Joe Dellera

Let’s have a nice Sunday sweat. Brunson has been incredible throughout the postseason, but is now dealing with a foot injury that seems to have impacted both his quickness and explosiveness.

Since he returned from injury in the second half of Game 2, he has recorded exactly one rebound in six quarters of basketball. Also, he had ZERO rebound chances in Game 3. He isn’t looking to crash the boards or jump for anything — he’s conserving his energy for the offensive burst he needs to keep the Knicks in these games.

He has gone under 3.5 rebounds in 55% of his games this season and in 67% of the games without Julius Randle, OG Anunoby and Mitchell Robinson. In part, that’s because there are more minutes/usage for Josh Hart, Miles McBride and even Alec Burks, all players who can get grab rebounds and push the ball in transition to take that burden off Brunson.

Considering the injury, I’ll play the base, but if you want an extra sweat, Under 2.5 (+220) and Under 1.5 (+550 DK) aren’t unreasonable.

Pick: Jalen Brunson Under 3.5 Rebounds

[anchor name=”3″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Knicks vs. Pacers”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Pacers -5.5″ league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/07/new-york-knicks-updated-logo-2023.png” awayname=”New York Knicks” awayslug=”new-york-knicks” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nba/100/ind.png” homename=”Indiana Pacers” homeslug=”indiana-pacers” date=”Sunday, May 12″ time=”3:30 p.m ET” network=”ABC” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Matt Moore

If you got Pacers -4.5 in Game 3, you covered. If you got five (like I did), you pushed. Ugh.

But I’m going back to the well. Teams that won Game 3 to cut a series to 2-1 and are favored in Game 4 are 31-18 SU and 27-22 ATS at home.

I will continue to believe that a team missing three starters (Mitchell Robinson started most of the season, Julius Randle and OG Anunoby), playing their starters ungodly minutes and getting obliterated in all the bench minutes is going to run out of steam.

I think the Pacers can play better. The fact that they haven’t is more of a sign of untapped potential. They’ve played below what they can in this series and were in both Games 1 and 2. The Knicks might just out-effort them here with Josh Hart turning into a juggernaut, but the Pacers’ offense continues to generate good looks and Tyrese Haliburton looks like he’s finally figured out playoff basketball.

I’ll lay the points.

Pick: Pacers -5.5

[anchor name=”4″][/anchor]

[subheader sizedown=”false” text=”Nuggets vs. Timberwolves”][/subheader]

[gameheader haspick=”true” picktext=”Nuggets Moneyline” league=”nba” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/725847_nba_den_150x150.png” awayname=”Denver Nuggets” awayslug=”denver-nuggets” homelogo=”https://images.actionnetwork.com/blog/2023/08/nba-updated-logo-minnesota-timberwolves.png” homename=”Minnesota Timberwolves” homeslug=”minnesota-timberwolves” date=”Sunday, May 12″ time=”8:00 p.m. ET” network=”TNT” bookname=”FanDuel” bookprimarylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/122955_FanDuelSportsBook@1x.jpg” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gameheader]

By Micah Roberts

The Nuggets’ big four are back. Denver woke up from its two-game nap and turned the tables to show on Minnesota in Game 3.

They shot 54% overall and 48% from 3. They played their best game at the most pivotal moment of the season. Now, they have to do it again.

The Nuggets know they’re better than the Timberwolves, they know they’re better than everybody and that’s what led them to the championship last year. It almost comes down to an arrogance.

The Timberwolves also know Denver is better. Minnesota just got whipped on its home floor.

Games 1 and 2 are in the past. This is a new chapter and Denver’s writing it right now. Back the Nuggets on the moneyline.

Pick: Nuggets Moneyline

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