MLB Odds · Brewers vs. Dodgers (Friday, July 5)
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Admittedly, PRO Report was a little slow last night. Brewers vs. Dodgers in the July 5 night cap, meanwhile, is about as active as can be in the betting space.
Our PRO Systems popped with not one, not two, but three predictions for Friday night’s Brewers vs. Dodgers tilt: Moneyline, runline and over/under edges.
Brewers vs. Dodgers matches a couple historically-profitable betting angles in both major markets for the NL series opener – and it should be an intense series between two league contenders.
The betting market sets the Brewers as underdogs with a moneyline of +164, while the Dodgers are favored at -198. Milwaukee is +1.5 (-122) on the run line, opposite L.A. at -1.5 (+102). The over/under is pegged at 7.5, with both sides of the total listed at -110.
Utilizing our money/ticket betting data, analytically-backed stats and more, here are the three big picks revealed by our PRO Systems for the final game on the MLB board July 5.
Brewers vs Dodgers Predictions Friday | Moneyline, Runline, Over/Under Edges
Let’s start with the moneyline.
Taking a closer look at our signals, betting the Brewers moneyline is a smart way to attack which team will win Friday night.
Specifically, Milwaukee is a match for a PRO System titled ‘Contrarian Betting Against Good Team,’ as the Brewers’ undervalued position aligns with historical betting patterns indicative of a profitable edge.
Here, we bet unpopular underdogs by our ticket/money count, especially when that team is on a losing streak (just as Milwaukee is entering July 5).
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PRO System Pick: Brewers Moneyline
That’s right: We have proprietary run line data, too! And it’s more Brew Crew support.
Cut from the same cloth, our “Contrarian Runline against Elite Teams (PRO)” system has a 57% win rate and a 5% return on investment (ROI). This system targets situations where public sentiment heavily favors elite teams like the Dodgers, often leading to an inflated line.
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By leveraging this contrarian approach, bettors can find value in betting on underdogs with favorable run line spreads!
PRO System Pick: Brewers +1.5
Diving into the over/under, it’s yet another contrarian slant – this time on the under.
It’s bolstered by the presence of our PRO System ‘Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams,’ which holds a 54% win rate with a 5% ROI. Simply put, betting MLB unders in games involving winning teams is a sharp look, as bettors often overvalue the offensive potential of successful teams.
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Historic data and sharp betting patterns underscore that games involving highly competitive teams tend to fall short of high scoring expectations, driven by tighter defenses and top-tier pitching duels.
PRO System Pick: Brewers vs. Dodgers Under
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For more Action Network coverage of the 2024 MLB season, check out the latest MLB odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.