Mississippi State vs. Michigan State Odds
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The 2024 NCAA Tournament field has been announced and Mississippi State will take on Michigan State in Round 1 of the West region. Here’s everything you need to know about Mississippi State vs. Michigan State odds, spread and more.
Michigan State opened as a 2.5-point favorite over Mississippi State in the first round off the NCAA Tournament, despite a lower seed. Tom Izzo’s record as a lower seed speaks for itself. The total has not yet been released.
Find out how No. 8 seeded Mississippi State and No. 9 seeded Michigan State matchup statistically ahead of their opening round matchup.
Statistical Matchup
| Mississippi St. | Michigan St. | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OFF | Rank | Rank | DEF |
| Effective FG% | 123 | 58 | Effective FG% |
| Turnover % | 290 | 71 | Turnover % |
| Rebound Rate | 21 | 165 | Rebound Rate |
| Free Throw Rate | 56 | 179 | Free Throw Rate |
| Tempo | 202 | 305 | Tempo |
| DEF | Rank | Rank | OFF |
| Effective FG% | 47 | 137 | Effective FG% |
| Turnover % | 104 | 42 | Turnover % |
| Rebound Rate | 111 | 140 | Rebound Rate |
| Free Throw Rate | 171 | 264 | Free Throw Rate |
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Mississippi State vs. Michigan State Analysis
Every casual college basketball fan is probably on the Spartans to win this battle of “MSUs,” especially after Clark Kellogg mentioned Tom Izzo’s winning record as a lower seed.
It’s a fun stat, but does it apply here? Since 2007, Izzo’s teams are 11-10 ATS as the lower-seeded team. In his last three first-round games as the lower seed, Izzo’s Spartans are just 1-2 straight up.
The concerning thing for Michigan State, and the reason Sparty was considered bubbly, is a lack of success away from home. Michigan State didn’t beat a single NCAA Tournament team in a game played outside the state of Michigan.
Mississippi State limped into the SEC Tournament, having dropped its final four regular-season games, though the Bulldogs should not be overlooked after routing highly seeded Tennessee in Nashville. That win could spark the mojo needed for the Bulldogs to turn this game into a rock fight and possibly advance.
–Shane McNichol
For more coverage of the 2024 NCAA Tournament and Selection Sunday, make sure to check out our experts’ live reactions to the bracket reveal and the Selection Sunday live show, where you can get their instant analysis on every matchup as well as some early insights to help you make your bets.