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Boston College vs Syracuse Odds, Prediction: How to Bet ACC Clash

Boston College Eagles vs Syracuse Orange Odds

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It’s time to dive into the Boston College vs. Syracuse odds and make a pick for Friday night’s college football game.

The Boston College Eagles visit what is still widely known as the Carrier Dome for a matchup against the Syracuse Orange.

Boston College is on a roll after winning its fourth straight game over UConn last week. Syracuse has had quite the opposite stretch, dropping its last four games. The games Syracuse lost were mostly against the best of the ACC, so this should be a better matchup for the Orange.

Can Syracuse pick up its first ACC win of the year, or will Boston College continue to roll? Let’s take a look at where the betting value lies.

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The Eagles had a rough start to the year, but they have responded well and currently sit at 5-3 on the year with two of those losses coming against Florida State and Louisville.

Both of these teams have come out as the top two teams in the ACC to date this season. Coach Jeff Hafley will lead the Eagles into New York hoping to sustain and build on his success since arriving in Chestnut Hill three years ago.

Thomas Castellanos headlines the offense as a major dual-threat quarterback, leading the team in passing and rushing this season. He’s a one-stop shop who does it all for Hafley’s offense week in and week out.

That being said, Kyle Robichaux finds success quite often in this run-heavy offense. Robichaux averages five yards per carry this season, while Castellanos averages 5.4.

The bread and butter of this offense is to run the football, as it ranks 44th in Success Rate and ninth in explosiveness.

Teams need to be prepared to load the box and slow down this ground game. When opponents do this, Castellanos takes advantage through the air, as the Eagles rank 34th in passing explosiveness thanks to the success they find on play-action passes.

The Boston College defense is not nearly as prolific as its offense. In fact, it’s pretty awful, allowing 28 points per game and roughly 360 yards of offense each game.

Fortunately for the Eagles, their offense has been explosive enough to keep up with their bad defense. Boston College ranks 107th against the pass and an awful 115th in defensive pass explosiveness.

Syracuse should be able to find some ways to exploit this weak secondary and pick up some big plays.

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The Orange have had a tough stretch as of late, but they will be happy to return home this week after a grueling three-week road stretch at Virginia Tech, Florida State and North Carolina.

Head coach Dino Babers looks to get his team back on track with its first ACC win of the year in the Carrier Dome. Syracuse is 3-2 in its last five games against Boston College, so this figures to be a close one on Friday night.

While the Orange haven’t found a ton of success offensively thus far, they do have a bright spot. They cash in on a lot of explosive plays, as they rank 58th in offensive explosiveness. This should give them an advantage over a porous Boston College defense that consistently allows big plays.

Quarterback Garrett Shrader and this offense will need to make sure they take advantage of these opportunities when they arise — something that shouldn’t be new to them.

LeQuint Allen should be able to find some running room this week despite Syracuse ranking 115th in Rushing Success Rate. This balanced offensive attack has the potential to up points this week after scoring only 10, three and seven over the last three weeks.

If the defense wasn’t a bright spot, this season could be very ugly for Cuse. It holds teams to 24 points per game and ranks 60th nationally in Success Rate. This defense is especially strong against the big play, ranking 30th in explosiveness.

The big test will be figuring out how to slow down this Boston College run game and contain Castellanos so he doesn’t beat this defense with his legs. The Orange allow about 150 yards per game on the ground, so that will be the defining factor in this conference clash.

The Syracuse pass defense should be able to slow down Castellanos through the air, as it ranks 46th against the pass.

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Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Boston College and Syracuse match up statistically:

Boston College Offense vs. Syracuse Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 44 64
Line Yards 28 58
Pass Success 107 49
Havoc 37 28
Finishing Drives 69 25
Quality Drives 35 71
Syracuse Offense vs. Boston College Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 115 79
Line Yards 76 65
Pass Success 76 127
Havoc 80 131
Finishing Drives 73 119
Quality Drives 99 101
Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 93 20
PFF Coverage 108 29
Special Teams SP+ 96 56
Middle 8 127 49
Seconds per Play 26.0 (51) 24.7 (27)
Rush Rate 60.5% (13) 55.7% (57)
Data via CollegeFootballData.com, SP+, Pro Football Focus and SportSource Analytics.
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This game should be a fun back-and-forth game with clear areas both teams should be able to exploit.

This game will ultimately come down to which side can string together stops defensively, and I trust Syracuse’s defense to do that in what’s essentially a must-win game as it returns home.

Give me the Orange -2.5 here.

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Eric Caselton

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