NFL Week 8 will be a rough one for starting quarterbacks.
Tennessee’s Ryan Tannehill, Cleveland’s Deshaun Watson and New York’s Daniel Jones are all out, causing NFL spread movement in each of these games.
Whenever situations like this arise, the key question surrounds whether there’s value in fading the teams with injured starting quarterbacks or potentially buying back these NFL spreads if they’ve moved too far.
And while not all of these games are popping as smart NFL predictions, the Action Network’s PRO betting tools are certainly showing value — big value — on a handful of them.
NFL Spread Predictions
*NFL spreads as of Sunday morning
Giants vs. Jets Prediction
1 p.m. ET | CBS
There has been plenty of discussion across mainstream sports media regarding whether the Giants are actually better off with Tyrod Taylor under center than Jones, but what does that mean for Sunday’s game against the Jets?
Our NFL betting model helps provide the answer.
We project this spread at Giants +1.6, which translates to a 3.3% edge considering that the latest consensus spread sits at +3, the most important number in football betting.
PRO Report Prediction: Giants +3
Vikings vs. Packers Prediction
1 p.m. ET | FOX
Both starting quarterbacks will be in action today, but Vikings vs. Packers represents a good, old-fashioned overreaction based on recent results.
Minnesota just beat San Francisco, in front a nationally-televised audience on Monday Night Football, no less, while Green Bay fell to Denver.
As a result, the Vikings may seem like a value play laying just 1 point, though the data suggests that the Packers should actually be favored in this game.
In fact, our PRO Projections set this spread at Green Bay -0.8, resulting in a 2.1% edge for bettors willing to back the undervalued Pack on Sunday afternoon.
PRO Report Prediction: Packers +1
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Browns vs. Seahawks Prediction
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX
The PJ Walker Show rolls on, and despite Cleveland’s recent success, our numbers indicate that the Browns are a savvy bet again in Week 8.
While this spread sits at a consensus of Cleveland +3.5, we project this line at +2.3.
The difference between our PRO Projection and the current spread pops as a 5.1% edge heading into today’s Browns vs. Seahawks matchup.
PRO Report Prediction: Browns +3.5