[gamematchup league=”ncaaf” awaylogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/660608_tennessee.png” awayname=”Tennessee” awayslug=”tennessee-volunteers” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/ncaaf/100/kend.png” homename=”Kentucky” homeslug=”kentucky-wildcats” date=”Saturday, Oct 28″ time=”7:00pm ET” network=”ESPN” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”-3.5″ col1awayline=”-110″ col1hometext=”+3.5″ col1homeline=”-110″ col2awaytext=”51.5″ col2hometext=”51.5″ col2awayline=”-105o / -115u” col2homeline=”-105o / -115u” col3awaytext=”-176″ col3hometext=”+146″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”FanDuel” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/392973_FanDuel.png” bookreviewslug=”fanduel”][/gamematchup]
Tennessee vs. Kentucky is the best SEC game Saturday of college football Week 9.
And here’s a huge betting edge against the spread to consider when the two square off in Lexington.
Today, one of our top betting models in Bet Labs — one with a solid 61%-winning clip — submitted a prediction on the Tennessee vs. Kentucky spread.
Today’s college football model prediction factors in home/road splits, the number of bets the game’s taken and more.
Tennessee is playing its second straight road game.
The Volunteers failed to cover the spread in a loss to Alabama last Saturday. Kentucky, meanwhile, is off a bye week.
The Wildcats are off back-to-back losses against the spread, following three straight covers.
After crunching the odds and factoring in key betting filters, here’s which pick and side our 61%-winning model suggests betting for Tennessee vs. Kentucky Saturday of Week 9.
Tennessee vs. Kentucky NCAAF Spread Pick, Prediction
It’s not the most ideal scheduling spot for the Volunteers in Week 9.
Instead of blaming the schedule makers, let’s make a pick on the spread, courtesy of a premium betting angle that debunks a common theory.
Is Tennessee tired or gassed playing back-to-back road games? Maybe, but likely not as much as the betting markets believe.
Tonight, the Tennessee Volunteers against the spread fit Bet Labs’ Road Streak PRO system vs. Kentucky.
Power Five programs (minus the Pac-12) playing between their second and fifth straight road game, with a closing total of 54 or less, have covered the spread 58% of the time.
But it gets better!
[betlabsembed systemid=”224721″ systemname=”Road Streak (PRO)” leaguename=”ncaaf” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20team’s%20conference%20is%20the%20SEC%20or%20Big%20Ten%20or%20ACC%20or%20Big%2012%20or%20Big%20East%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%200%20and%2054%22%2C%22the%20team%E2%80%99s%20home%2Faway%20streak%20is%20between%20-5%20and%20-2%20games%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20a%20Conference%20game%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$7,540″ record=”346-253-4″ winpct=”58%”][/betlabsembed]
Bet Labs also tracks how many bets are taken on a game compared to the daily average.
Tonight, there’s a large volume of Tennessee vs. Kentucky bets against the spread rolling in, likely from respected bettors.
Add that filter to the previous system, and now we’re dealing with a 61%-winning system.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1033962″ systemname=”Road Streak (PRO)” leaguename=”ncaaf” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20is%20a%20Conference%20game%22%2C%22the%20number%20of%20bets%20compared%20to%20the%20day’s%20average%20is%20between%201.01%20and%2010%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20team%E2%80%99s%20home%2Faway%20streak%20is%20between%20-5%20and%20-2%20games%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%200%20and%2054%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$8,094″ record=”256-163-2″ winpct=”61%”][/betlabsembed]
The Volunteers have been the hot pick in the head-to-head series, covering five of the last six vs. Kentucky.
Bet Labs’ winning model prediction is Tennessee to not only beat the Wildcats in Week 9, but cover what’s likely a deflated spread.
PRO Model Prediction: Tennessee ATS
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For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NCAAF season, check out the latest college football odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.