A quick look at the NFL odds board for Sunday’s Week 7 slate screams bankroll management.
To start, six teams — Cincinnati Bengals, Dallas Cowboys, Tennessee Titans, New York Jets, Carolina Panthers and Houston Texans — are on byes, shortening the schedule significantly.
In addition, injuries and unknown statuses of key players are also throwing bettors a curveball.
So what does this mean in terms of handicapping NFL Week 7 odds for Sunday’s smartest betting predictions?
As always, if it’s not there, don’t force.
After consulting the Action Network’s NFL PRO Report, two betting predictions come to mind as ones offering value: Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots and Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs.
NFL Odds, Predictions for Week 7
*NFL odds as of Sunday morning
Bills vs. Patriots Prediction
1 p.m. ET | CBS
The Bills vs. Patriots over/under sits at just 40 and our betting model suggests that number is too low.
The Action Network’s PRO Projections set this line at 42.6, translating to a 3.2% edge.
Beware that some sportsbooks are at 40.5, so always be sure to shop for the best odds if grabbing the Bills vs. Patriots over.
PRO Report Prediction: Over 40
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Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS
Chargers vs. Chiefs screams a high-scoring affair, right?
Not so fast, my friend.
Yes, a total of 47.5 isn’t exactly low — in fact, it’s one of the highest of the entire Week 7 slate. However, it is low for a matchup between these two teams.
Interestingly, this number has already ticked down from its opener of 48 and the weather forecast could be behind the move.
Winds of 11-12 mph are expected throughout today’s game, and according to our High Winds PRO Betting System, unders are 582-440-9 (57%) in games matching this criteria since 2003.
PRO Report Prediction: Under 47.5