[gamematchup league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/den.png” awayname=”Broncos” awayslug=”denver-broncos” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/mia.png” homename=”Dolphins” homeslug=”miami-dolphins” date=”Sunday, Sep 24″ time=”1:00pm ET” network=”CBS” col1text=”Spread” col2text=”Total” col3text=”Moneyline” col1awaytext=”+6.5″ col1awayline=”-105″ col1hometext=”-6.5″ col1homeline=”-115″ col2awaytext=”48″ col2hometext=”48″ col2awayline=”-108o / -112u” col2homeline=”-108o / -112u” col3awaytext=”+235″ col3hometext=”-290″ col3awayline=”” col3homeline=”” bookname=”DraftKings” bookthumbnaillogo=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/448044_DKIcon_3x.png” bookreviewslug=”draftkings”][/gamematchup]
The Broncos vs. Dolphins spread Sunday of NFL Week 3 activated not one, but two profitable NFL models in Bet Labs.
In fact, the betting library shows that both NFL models match on the Broncos vs. Dolphins spread and prediction today.
Both are backed by solid win percentages.
For starters, a 62%-winning NFL trend lit up after registering the Broncos vs. Dolphins odds in Week 3.
Supporting that elite NFL angle is an additional model cashing 59% of picks. Both expert systems only suggest NFL bets against the spread.
The Dolphins covered the spread in their Week 1 upset, then beat the number again last week in primetime.
The Broncos, meanwhile, are in danger of dropping to 0-3 overall and against the spread in Sean Payton’s first year as head coach.
Here’s which side both NFL models recommend betting on the Broncos vs. Dolphins spread Sunday.
Broncos vs. Dolphins Spread Prediction
The Broncos won just five games last season, and are off back-to-back deflating losses to open this year.
It’s time to answer the question as a crucial Week 3 game looms against the ‘Fins: Will the Russell Wilson experiment ever work?
Both winning models today are giving Denver at least one more shot, with a suggested pick on the Broncos against the spread Sunday afternoon.
For starters, they fit Bet Labs’ Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season PRO system.
This trend suggests taking:
- Road underdogs
- When the betting spread is 0.5-6.5
- With an over/under of 50 or lower
The X-factor is teams that won six or fewer games the previous season.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1039990″ systemname=”Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season (PRO)” leaguename=”nfl” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20game%20was%20played%20on%20Sunday%20or%20Monday%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Dog%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20previous%20season%20win%20total%20is%20between%200%20and%206%22%2C%22the%20team%20is%20the%20Visitor%20team%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%2C%22the%20spread%20is%20between%200.5%20and%206.5%22%2C%22the%20closing%20total%20is%20between%200%20and%2050%22%2C%22the%20game%20was%20played%20in%20September%20or%20December%20or%20November%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$8,615″ record=”246-152-10″ winpct=”62%”][/betlabsembed]
The theory to this NFL model is:
“This system looks to take advantage of the perceptions that a team may not be very good based on last season’s results. When the total isn’t too high, small dogs have covered at a very high rate.”
Secondly, Bet Labs’ 62%-winning model Week 3 Dogs backs the Broncos as well.
This angle plays on NFL underdogs in Week 3 that did not cover in Weeks 1 and 2.
[betlabsembed systemid=”1272274″ systemname=”Week 3 Dogs (PRO)” leaguename=”nfl” filters=”%7B%22list%22%3A%5B%22the%20spread%20is%20between%201%20and%2020%22%2C%22the%20team’s%20ATS%20streak%20is%20-2%20games%22%2C%22the%20week%20number%20or%20round%20is%203%22%2C%22the%20game%20is%20played%20during%20the%20Regular%20season%22%5D%7D” amountwon=”$1,935″ record=”56-34-0″ winpct=”62%”][/betlabsembed]
PRO Report Prediction: Broncos ATS
For more Action Network coverage of the 2023 NFL season, check out the latest NFL odds, as well as the public betting percentage breakdowns for all games.