[gameheader haspick=”false” league=”nfl” awaylogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/mia.png” awayname=”Miami Dolphins” awayslug=”miami-dolphins” homelogo=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/ne.png” homename=”New England Patriots” homeslug=”new-england-patriots” date=”Sunday, Sept. 17″ time=”8:20 p.m. ET” network=”NBC”][/gameheader]
[subheader text=”JuJu Smith-Schuster” subtext=”Longest Reception Under 16.5 Receiving Yards (-120, BetMGM)” logo1url=”https://static.sprtactn.co/teamlogos/nfl/100/dal.png” trailinglogourl=”https://assets.actionnetwork.com/779359_BetMGM800x200@1x.png” trailinglink=”https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/betmgm” trailinglinkfollow=”false”][/subheader]
Smith-Schuster only managed to post a 4/33/0 receiving line in a game where Mac Jones dropped back to pass 58 times. He only ran a route on 47% of Mac Jones dropbacks and didn’t play down the stretch when they nearly came back and won.
This is a huge red flag for Smith-Schuster’s potential playing time this week, and his knee still might not be 100% following offseason surgery.We could see DeVante Parker return tonight, which would only make it tougher for his to see an increase in snaps/volume.
Smith-Schuster only saw an Average Depth of Target of 4.3 and since he’s clearly running routes underneath, I think the best way to fade him is the longest reception market.
I have him staying under 16.5 around 65% of the time and would bet this down to -155. Still like it at 15.5 since I project him staying under that about 60% of the time. I also think there are more paths to him finishing closer to his floor.
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