Marlins vs. Rays Odds
| Marlins Odds | +165 |
| Rays Odds | -200 |
| Total | 7.5 (+100 / -120) |
| Date | Tuesday, July 25 |
| Time | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Tuesday afternoon.
The Miami Marlins start a quick, two-game interleague series with the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday night at Tropicana Field.
Tyler Glasnow will be on the bump for the Rays, while Edward Cabrera will start for the Marlins.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on a Cabrera player prop at BetMGM. The prognostication is expecting Cabrera to struggle against the Rays.
It’s a bet on the under.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
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Edward Cabrera Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Cabrera made his first start back from the IL last week against the Cardinals. He performed admirably, pitching five innings and allowing two hits and one earned run.
Before the injury, Cabrera was having an OK season with a 5-5 record and a 4.7 ERA. However, this betting system expects Cabrera to struggle to get strikeouts against the Rays.
BetMGM has set the total for over 5.5 strikeouts at -145, while the under is +110. That’s the best price on the under in the market.
The model predicts Cabrera will have 4.7 strikeouts tonight, good enough for about a 20% betting edge.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same size unit for each individual bet.
Pick: Edward Cabrera Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110)
