The MLB slate for Thursday, May 11 is a small one that features just six total games.
In addition, three of today’s games get underway early this afternoon, while the remaining three are nighttime matchups.
So, with Thursday’s schedule essentially broken into two smaller three-game slates, let’s go ahead and examine MLB odds and the smartest predictions for today’s afternoon games, including Mets vs. Reds and Padres vs. Twins.
MLB Predictions Thursday
*Odds as of Thursday morning
Mets vs. Reds Prediction
12:35 p.m. ET | MLB Network
The weather will be a key factor on Thursday for Mets vs. Reds.
Steady 5 mph winds blowing directly in towards home plate are expected throughout today’s game, making the Mets vs. Reds under a match for Action Network’s Weather: Wind Blowing In PRO System.
Dating back to 2005, this strategy has produced a record of 1,102-900-100 for a win rate of 55%, which is impressive considering the massive sample size of games.
PRO prediction: Under 10 (-105)
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Padres vs. Twins Prediction
1:10 p.m. ET | MLB Network
We’re turning right back to our PRO Systems to find under value in Padres vs. Twins as well.
With two starting pitchers capable of missing bats, Padres vs. Twins is lighting up Action Network’s High Strikeout Pitchers PRO System, which is 247-189-27 (57%) since 2018.
It makes sense that games involving high-strikeout pitchers are likely to result in fewer runs — a theory that seems to be proven based on this system’s historical record.
As of the time of writing, the vig does vary a bit across the market for this under, so be sure to shop for the best MLB odds if backing this strategy on Thursday afternoon.
PRO prediction: Under 8 (+100)
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