Thunder vs. Pelicans Odds, Pick | NBA Betting Prediction (Wednesday, April 12)

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans Odds

The play-in tournament keeps on giving, and Wednesday night will see the Thunder and Pelicans face off from New Orleans.

The winner of this matchup will head to Minnesota to take on the Timberwolves on Friday night.

The Wolves had as much as a 15 point lead deep into the third quarter before giving it up. Minnesota has given up the second-most 15 point leads in the NBA this season — whoever wins tonight between the Thunder and Pelicans has a good shot to take down the Timberwolves on the road, according to the Action Network’s proprietary algorithms.

And it’s those same algorithms that indicates an edge on one side of the spread for this Wednesday night play-in matchup.

Our models consider every data point for every NBA game, including matchups, form, rest, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more. The algorithms also consider more qualitative data in assessing value for every game.

Thunder vs. Pelicans NBA Odds, Prediction

The Action Network’s proprietary betting algorithms indicate the Thunder should be only +3.3 underdogs tonight.

That’s relative to a market-wide price of about +5.5.

At a market-best price of Thunder +5.5 (-110) at FanDuel, the models assign that pick a roughly 5.5% betting edge.

That means you’ll receive a 5.5% discount from the fair-value price by betting on the Thunder at +5.5.

Another way to think about it: you’re accumulating 5.5% of positive expected value the second after you make that pick, according to our models.

Do keep in mind that our algorithms work best when you use the same unit sizing for as many games as possible, over a long sample size.

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