Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds, Pick | NBA Betting Prediction (Wednesday, March 29)

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Phoenix Suns Odds

While just 1.5 games separate the Timberwolves and Suns, their seedings indicate a world of difference. 

While Phoenix is sitting pretty with home-court advantage throughout the first round at the No. 4 seed, Minnesota will have to compete in the play-in tournament as things stand on Wednesday afternoon.

Such is the state of affairs in the Western Conference, where just 2.5 games separate an automatic first-round spot and missing the play-in tournament altogether.

With just five or six games to go across the NBA regular season, these games matter – teams will be playing their best lineups the vast majority of the fourth quarter, skipping rest after accumulating those minutes from October through February.

For Timberwolves vs. Suns on Wednesday night, the Action Network’s proprietary betting algorithms indicate a heavy edge on one particular line.

Our models consider every data point for every NBA game, including matchups, form, rest, stylistic differences, lingering injuries and more.

Timberwolves vs. Suns NBA Odds, Prediction

The Action Network’s proprietary betting algorithms indicate the Timberwolves should be only +3.8 underdogs tonight.

That’s relative to a market-wide price of about +5

At a market-best price of Timberwolves +5.5 (-110) at DraftKings, the models assign that pick a roughly 4.5% betting edge.

That means you’ll receive a 4.5% discount from the fair-value price by betting on Timberwolves +5.5.

Another way to think about it: you’re accumulating 4.5% of positive expected value the second after you make that pick, according to our models.

Do keep in mind that our algorithms work best when you use the same unit sizing for as many games as possible, over a long sample size.

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