Los Angeles Lakers vs. Houston Rockets Odds
| Lakers Odds | -3.5 |
| Rockets Odds | +3.5 |
| Over/Under | 231 |
| Date | Wednesday, March 15 |
| Time | 8 p.m. ET |
| How to Watch | NBA League Pass |
| Odds via FanDuel as of Wednesday | |
Even with LeBron James and Anthony Davis out — and a full-strength Rockets team — the Lakers still opened as 4.5-point favorites on Wednesday night.
That line has since receded to a consensus -3.5 across the market.
At that price, there’s a massive betting edge — the biggest of the night, in fact.
That’s according to our proprietary betting algorithms, which say one side of the spread for Lakers vs. Rockets isn’t priced efficiently.
Our betting models interpret dozens of parameters in order to decipher a fair money spread for every single NBA game, every day.
The betting algorithms factor in everything from injuries, conditioning, travel time, coaching, matchups and more.
Lakers vs. Rockets NBA Odds, Prediction
Without James and Davis, this Lakers line is inflated, according to our betting models.
The markets have gone too far in one direction — as indicated by sharp action that’s reduced the opening line from Lakers -4.5 to Lakers -3.5.
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Our models think the Lakers should be just 0.3-point favorites. Compared to FanDuel’s market-best price of Rockets +3.5 (-110), you’re getting a solid 7.5% in betting edge.
Effectively, you’ll be receiving a 7.5% discount from the fair-value price. Another way to think about it: You’re getting 7.5% in expected value by making that pick.
The most effective way to maximize returns using our betting algorithms is to wager the same unit sizing for every line with an edge.
Pick: Rockets +3.5 (-110) |
