Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Texas Southern Odds, Pick | College Basketball Betting Prediction (Wednesday, March 15)

Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Texas Southern Odds

After a tight start to the First Four, Fairleigh Dickinson and Texas Southern try to match yesterday’s slate for an opportunity to face No. 1 seed Purdue.

And according to the Action Network’s datasets, sharp and big-moneyed bettors heavily favor one side of this matchup over the other.

In addition, our proprietary algorithms favor this side of the spread, too.

This isn’t Texas Southern’s first rodeo. The Tigers were forced to duke it out in the First Four in three of the last four tournaments, winning in each of them before bowing out to the No. 1 seed in the following round. Still, there’s pedigree in this program during the First Four.

The one year Texas Southern didn’t make it? Fairleigh Dickinson did, taking the Tigers’ spot in the First Four and making it out themselves.

The advanced metrics slightly favor Texas Southern, which ranks roughly 20 to 30 spots ahead of Fairleigh Dickinson, depending on your dataset of choice.

Does that indicate a fair spread? Or are the sharps and models fading public sentiments and heading in the other direction?

Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Texas Southern College Basketball Odds, Prediction

The Action Network’s proprietary dataset gleans betting information from all of the major American sportsbooks.

For Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Texas Southern, the verdict is clear: Sharp bettors favor this to be a close game, and with that, taking the points is paramount.

That’s how sharps pushed this line down from its open at Fairleigh Dickinson +3.5 to its current market-low of +2.

In addition, our proprietary betting algorithms think Fairleigh Dickinson should be closer to +1 favorites on the spread.

At a market-best price of +2.5 (-108) at WynnBet, you’re getting about 4.5% in betting edge.

Effectively, you’ll be receiving a 4.5% discount from the fair-value price.

Another way to think about it: You’re accumulating 4.5% in expected value by making that pick.