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Best Supporting Actress Odds, Oscar Picks: Three-Way Race Between Angela Bassett, Jamie Lee Curtis, Kerry Condon

Best Supporting Actress Nominees & Odds

Odds via FanDuel and as of March 12

Nominee Odds Implied Probability
Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All At Once) +120 45.45%
Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever) +145 40.82%
Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin) +185 35.09%
Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All At Once) +3400 2.86%
Hong Chau (The Whale) +3400 2.86%

Collin Wilson: The pump on Everything Everywhere All At Once was there for Jamie Lee Curtis months ago in the category of Best Supporting Actress. Recent victories by her opponents have made this category a true crapshoot after kickoff Sunday.

Kerry Condon won the BAFTA for The Banshees of Inisherin while Angela Bassett won the Golden Globe. Steam picked up once again on Curtis following a SAG victory, making any of the three names mentioned part of a three-horse race that will require a photo finish. 

The rule for the Best Supporting Actress award is to avoid an age range in the 40s or 50s, but none of the favored candidates have the youth of Jennifer Lawrence or the career length of Jessica Tandy.

The experts and editors of Gold Derby show a small lean in this category, leaving Curtis at just 16% of the vote. Bassett sits at 46% while fighting a bias of being the first-ever member of a MCU cast to be nominated for an acting award.

Condon generated 38% of the vote, setting the value on her betting price at anything better than +165.

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