Georgetown vs. Butler Odds
| Georgetown Odds | +4.5 |
| Butler Odds | -4.5 |
| Over/Under | 137.5 |
| Date | Sunday, Feb. 19 |
| Time | 3 p.m. ET |
| How to Watch | Fox Sports 1 |
| Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday | |
The Action Network has created a proprietary algorithm that has developed a database since 2005.
This college basketball model encompasses specific parameters and only lights up for about 50 college basketball games per year. Georgetown vs. Butler on Sunday afternoon fits all the parameters.
The proprietary algorithm has gone 493-377-22 (57% win rate) since Mario’s “Let Me Love You” topped the charts, returning an annual 11% on investment during that timeframe.
Since 2005, if you had wagered $500 on the roughly 50 college basketball games per season that have fit this algorithm, you’d be up more than $45,000.
We don’t recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to gains over a long time horizon.
Georgetown vs. Butler College Basketball Odds, Prediction
This betting algorithm has a list of parameters it considers when targeting a specific game and line. In general, it fades the public during conference games.
The public tends to overvalue popular conference opponents — while wagering on them heavily — and sportsbooks are forced to price lines accordingly.
“Fade the public” indicates empirically that fewer than 25% of bettors are riding with the team that you’d be betting on. Conversely, 75% or more of the public is enamored with the team you’d fade.
In addition, the game in question must have a lower total (between 128 and 146.5) in order to temper variance.
Lastly, the conference game must occur in the Big 12, SEC, Pac-12, ACC, Big Ten or Big East. So, only big-time conferences work for this ATS system.
All those parameters fit Georgetown’s point spread tonight. Action Network’s proprietary tracking data reports that only 23% of wagers from all major American sportsbooks are on the Hoyas to cover.
The best price on the market is with Caesars at +5.5 (-110).
A ridiculous 77% of the public is laying the points with the home favorites. The total also fits the aforementioned parameters.
Keep in mind that this historically profitable algorithm applies to about 50 college basketball games per year. While Thursday night might be an opportunity to cash in, this is a long-term investment.
In order to maximize your 11% return on investment, make sure to follow through whenever this algorithm provides picks for the rest of the season.
Pick: Georgetown +5.5 (-110)