Tua Tagovailoa will not play for Miami today while Lamar Jackson is out for Baltimore, and the latest NFL odds for Sunday’s Wild Card Round reflect this.
Live NFL odds show the Dolphins as 13.5-point underdogs against the Bills, which would make Miami the largest wild-card underdog ever should the spread close at +12 or longer.
The betting market also expects a tough road ahead for the Ravens, who are +8.5 against the Bengals as of the time of writing.
With Tagovailoa and Jackson sidelined, this obviously affects how competitive both teams will be in their respective matchups on Sunday.
This also has a big impact on the smartest NFL predictions for these two Wild Card Round matchups as well.
With this in mind, let’s go ahead and fire up the Action Network’s NFL PRO predictions, which have identified a system with a 65% against-the-spread (ATS) win rate and picks for both Dolphins vs. Bills and Ravens vs. Bengals on Sunday afternoon.
NFL Odds & Predictions for Sunday
*NFL odds as of Sunday morning
Dolphins vs. Bills Prediction
1 p.m. ET | CBS
According to the Action Network’s Bet Against Public PRO System, NFL underdogs of at least 5.5 points in lower-total games (defined as 50 and below) getting fewer than 50% of the spread tickets are 32-17-1 (65%) ATS, covering by an average margin of 3.51 points.
This makes sense from a high level because the NFL playoffs bring in even more money from recreational bettors, who overwhelmingly prefer to back favorites, increasing the contrarian value of underdogs in these spots.
As of the time of writing, Miami has received just 19% of the spread bets as a 13.5-point underdog in a game with an over/under of 43.5.
In addition, BetRivers is offering the Dolphins at +14, so be sure to shop for the best odds before getting down on this matchup.
PRO Prediction: Dolphins +14
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Ravens vs. Bengals Prediction
8:15 p.m. ET | NBC
The Ravens are also a match for the system detailed above because the majority of bettors simply want no part of Baltimore without Jackson.
John Harbaugh’s team has garnered 27% of the spread action thus far while sitting as an 8.5-point dog and a total of 40.5 against Cincinnati.
PRO Prediction: Ravens +8.5 |
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