lions-vs-panthers-odds-prediction-the-egregiously-elite-betting-predictor

Lions vs. Panthers Odds, Prediction: The Egregiously Elite Betting Predictor

Lions vs. Panthers Odds, Prediction

Lions Odds -3 (+100)
Panthers Odds +3 (-120)
Over/Under 48.5
Date Saturday, Dec. 24
Time 1 p.m. ET
Channel FOX

*Odds via BetMGM as of Saturday morning

There is an egregiously elite betting system that lights up for about 13 NFL games per season and does so for Lions vs. Panthers on Christmas Eve.

The algorithm has gone 130-98-3 (57%) since 2005. That’s 231 NFL games over a very lengthy sample size and $500 per game bettors would have netted about $10,700 during that time frame.

That’s an annualized 9.3% return on investment (ROI) over a very lengthy timeframe.

Some of the algorithm’s factors include opponent ATS percentages, time of season, spread change, spread percentages and other metrics that fade the public.

We don’t recommend using these algorithms as an alternative to investing — variance is much less forgiving in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to profits over a long time horizon.

Panthers vs. Lions: Egregiously Elite Betting System 

This betting system fades the public heavily.

The metrics by which we measure this are 1.) the team needs to have 39% or fewer of all money on its spread. That means the public isn’t messing with this team. 2.) The spread value needs to have decreased over time, meaning retail bettor action has actually moved this line the opposite direction.

And the opponent needs to have an ATS record of 60% or higher. Teams of this sort tend to regress toward the mean after the market becomes more efficient with increased sample size.

Teams of this nature have covered 57% of the time since the Bush administration. As aforementioned, $500 per game bettors for all 231 games would have netted over $10,000.

The spread for the Panthers fits both of these criteria. The Panthers have a paltry 24% of the total money. And the Lions have overperformed just about every metric this season.

The best price on the market is with BetMGM at +3 (-120) as home underdogs.

Pick: Panthers +3 (-120) or Better
_InlineAdBlock


Posted

in

by