There are two college basketball games on Thursday that fit a historically profitable betting algorithm that has picked games since 2005.
The algorithm encompasses Louisville vs. NC State (7 p.m. ET) and Butler vs. Creighton (8 p.m. ET).
The algo has posted a 487-368-21 record (57% win rate) since 2005 and fits only about 50 college basketball games per year.
The betting system factors in which conference the teams are in and it fades the public. There are three other parameters that we’ll analyze after the paywall.
These types of spreads — under specific parameters — have returned 10% on investment since the Bush administration.
Since 2005, if you had wagered $500 per game on the roughly 50 college basketball games per year that have fit this algorithm, you’d be up about $45,000.
Read further to find out more about this PRO system, the theory behind it and how to incorporate it for tonight’s college basketball slate.
The 57% ATS, 10% ROI Pick for Thursday
This PRO system fades the public for conference games.
The public tends to overvalue popular conference opponents — while wagering on them heavily — and sportsbooks are forced to price lines accordingly.
In addition, the game in question must have a lower total (between 128 and 146.5) in order to temper variance.
Lastly, the conference game needs to take place in the Big 12, SEC, Pac-12, ACC, Big Ten or Big East. So, only big-time conferences work for this ATS system.
All of those parameters fit the aforementioned games. One is in the Big East, the other is in the ACC and each has totals below 146.5. In addition, the opposing pick is incredibly popular among retail bettors.
The picks you should fade the public with are below.
- Louisville +17.5 vs. NC State
- Creighton -8.5 hosting Butler
This historically profitable algorithm applies to about 50 college basketball games per year. This might be an opportunity to cash in, but keep in mind that it’s a long-term investment.
In order to maximize your 10% return on investment, make sure to follow through whenever this PRO system provides picks for the rest of the season.
PRO Picks: Louisville +17.5 vs. NC State | Creighton -8.5 hosting Butler.
