T.J. Brown vs. Erik Silva Odds
Veteran UFC featherweight T.J. Brown meets promotional newcomer Erik Silva in an early preliminary card bout at UFC 282 on Saturday.
Brown had won back-to-back fights before a recent loss to Shayilan Nuerdanbieke.
He’ll look to get back on track when he meets recent UFC signee Silva, whose eight-fight winning streak includes an August win at a Contender Series event.
Let’s look at the matchup.
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Tale of the Tape
| Brown | Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 16-9 | 9-1 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 13:36 | 1:32 |
| Height | 5’9″ | 5’9″ |
| Weight (pounds) | 145 lbs. | 145 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 72″ | 71″ |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 5/22/1990 | 3/16/1987 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.68 | 7.83 |
| SS Accuracy | 43% | 70% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 2.88 | 0.00 |
| SS Defense | 50% | 100% |
| Take Down Avg | 3.86 | 9.78 |
| TD Acc | 61% | 100% |
| TD Def | 41% | 0% |
| Submission Avg | 1.6 | 0.0 |
After securing a contract via first-round submission on Contender Series in August, Silva will make his UFC debut against Brown, a Glory MMA product who had to scramble to replace his corner following James Krause’s suspension.
Silva opened around -165 for this matchup, but the line has moved closer to a pick’em price.
Brown has faced a more proven slate of competition, and he may have the wrestling advantage in the matchup.
Still, Silva is a far more dangerous man on the feet. If he can deny takedowns or survive until Brown eventually tires out, Silva should find opportunities to close the show or steal the scorecards late.
Brown vs. Silva Pick
I would bet Silva’s moneyline to -115.
Additionally, consider playing either his submission prop (projected +262, listed +320 at BetRivers) or his finish prop (projected +158, listed +175 at BetMGM) for a boosted payout.
The Pick: Erik Silva (-110, 0.5u at DraftKings)