Monday Night Football’s Saints vs. Buccaneers game has an elite betting algorithm that targets sharp movement.
The algorithm has gone 110-70-3 against-the-spread (ATS) since 2005 (61% win rate) and only lights up for specific spreads under specific parameters.
For Monday Night Football’s Saints vs. Buccaneers game, sharp action on one side of the spread — in tandem with four other parameters — means there’s fantastic value on that pick.
A $500 per game bettor would have a profit of roughly $17,500 if they tailed all 183 NFL games that have aligned with this algorithm since 2005.
Saints vs. Buccaneers NFL Prediction
The team you would target for this algorithm needs to:
- Be coming off of a loss
- Be on at least a two-game road trip
- Have its spread lose value since opening on account of sharp action
The game also needs to be an intraconference contest.
All of these parameters fit the Saints’ spread at a market-best price of +3.5 (-107) at PointsBet.
The Saints are coming off a 13-0 loss to the 49ers last week. This contest against the Bucs is the second of two straight road games. And New Orleans opened up as +5.5 underdogs before sharp action pushed that line to its consensus of +3.5.
Teams coming off a loss, on a road trip and with sharp action on their spread have historically done fantastic ATS. As mentioned, teams of this nature have covered 61% of the time since 2005.
All systems are a go for a value play on New Orleans to cover on Monday night.
PRO Pick: Saints +3.5 (-107) or better
