Looking for the best NFL player props on Thanksgiving? We’ve got you covered with three premium plays Thursday, and one for each game.
Our advanced player prop projections crunched the numbers for all three Thursday matchups and found edges on Patriots quarterback Mac Jones, Lions quarterback Jared Goff, and Giants running back Saquon Barkley.
Whenever NFL prop projections green-light a bet, the edge must be 10% or greater between our number and the current odds.
Not only do we think these player prop bets are off from their odds enough to bet Thursday — we believe they’re all A-rated edges.
NFL Player Props, Picks Thursday
Mac Jones Over/Under 6.5 Rushing Yards
Here’s the top player prop pick from projections on Thanksgiving.
We think Jones is going over his rushing total, as we make the number more like 11 yards.
It’s a 20.2% edge and A+ pick on the Pats signal caller.
Pick: Mac Jones Over Rushing |
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Jared Goff Over/Under 3.5 Rushing Yards
Goff isn’t known as a runner, but there’s some cushion on his yard total against the Bills.
Our numbers made Goff’s rushing total more like 5, which gives over bettors a solid 15.7% edge and A- grade.
Pick: Jared Goff Over Rushing |
Saquon Barkley Over/Under 3.5 Receptions
Barkley draws the Cowboys defense Thursday afternoon, and we feel his reception line’s a tad high.
Projections tab Barkley for around 2.8 catches, giving under bettors a 15.7% edge and A- selection to round out the picks.
Pick: Saquon Barkley Under Receptions |