The Action Network’s proprietary tracking data has indicated value on Eagles vs. Colts and Rams vs. Saints — both of which kickoff during the early afternoon 1 p.m. ET window.
For both games, sharp and big moneyed bettors are rolling heavily on the total and spread.
Three of Action Network’s most premier NFL handicappers are also tailing these particular sides.
Following heavy sharp action allows you to extract value out of retail bettors and the rest of the broader market. Doing so almost assures you profit over the long run.
Sports betting’s main short-term constraint, though, is variance. You’ll lose some bets along the way — and often many in a row. So make sure you’re using the same unit sizing every time you tail smart money.
NFL Week 11 Predictions
Odds and betting data updated as of Sunday at 9 a.m. ET.
Eagles vs. Colts
The sharps are riding with the Colts to cover this afternoon at a market-best price of +7 (-116) at PlayUp. If you’re outside of New Jersey or Iowa, roll with BallyBet’s number at +7 (-120).
The Colts are receiving 75% of the money but only 42% of the bets. That 33% discrepancy indicates a massive number of big moneyed bettors are rolling with Indy tonight.
Three of our top NFL handicappers are on this line, too.
As for the total, those same sharps are on the over. One of our premier NFL handicappers feels strongly about this game’s over — at its open at 43.5. That line has ballooned to about 45.5 on account of sharp action. While the best price on the market is at BallyBet at o45 (-110), keep in mind that most sharps got in below the key number of 44.
Rams vs. Saints
Big moneyed bettors love the Saints to cover here.
The market writ large has overvalued three NFC teams with pedigree this year, and it’s shown by their ATS records. The Rams, Packers and Bucs all rank among the worst teams against the spread this season.
And guess which team has the absolute worst record? The Rams. At 2-6-1.
The wise guys expect that number to continue rolling along. At a market-best price of Saints -2.5 (-107) at PointsBet, the smart money is 72% on the Saints to cover.
As for the total, two of our top NFL handicappers are on the under, which has deteriorated already from its open at 42.5 to its current mark at 39.5.
With a dinged up Matthew Stafford, an average Andy Dalton and Cooper Kupp out, the best market price on the under is with PointsBet at u39 (-105).
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