The Action Network’s proprietary betting algorithms have indicated value on the totals for Georgia vs. Mississippi State and Missouri vs. Tennessee on Saturday.
They are the SEC’s most valuable betting picks for the day, according to our models.
The No. 1 ranked Bulldogs kick off at 7 p.m. ET, while No. 5 Tennessee plays host during the noon window.
The algorithm factors in injuries, matchups, rest, rotations, travel and every other variable associated with Saturday’s games.
The pick on Georgia vs. Mississippi State provides a roughly 9% betting edge, which indicates the pick has implied odds that are more than 9% higher than the odds available to you in the markets.
Essentially, the line is currently at more than a 9% discount across the market.
For Missouri vs. Tennessee, the betting edge is 8.8%.
We don’t recommend using these betting algorithms as an alternative to investing — variance is much less forgiving in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to profits over a long time horizon.
Georgia vs. Mississippi State, Missouri vs. Tennessee Most Valuable SEC Picks
Odds and betting data updated as of Friday.
The models are rolling heavily with the overs on both of those aforementioned contests.
The algorithm thinks the Georgia total should be closer to 58.5. Meanwhile, the best line on the market is with FanDuel at o53.5 (-110).
It has a betting edge of 9%. Another way of thinking about betting edges: a 9% discount means you can expect to make $9 for every $100 wagered in the long run on similarly mispriced lines.
For Tennessee, the total should be closer to 61.8, according to our models. The best price on the market, though is at BallyBet at o56.5 (-110).
This pick provides $8.80 in value for every $100 wagered over the long run.