phillies-braves-predictions-nlds-odds-picks-where-expert-money-is-betting

Phillies vs. Braves MLB Playoff Odds, Picks, Predictions: Where Smart Money Is Landing in NLDS Matchup

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Phillies Odds +172
Braves Odds -205
Over/Under 7.5 (o +100 / u -122)
Date Tuesday, Oct. 11
Time 1:07 p.m. ET
Channel FOX

*Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday morning

The Action Network’s proprietary tracking data has indicated a trove of sharp bettors on this NLDS matinee between the Phillies and Braves.

Sharps are targeting the total, the spread and the moneyline for this Game 1.

One of the Action Network’s top MLB handicappers is particularly bullish on the total and spread picks this afternoon.

This playoff total is higher than normal at 7.5, but that’s not deterring our expert and other sharp bettors from betting one side of that number.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Sharp Pick

The smart money has been enough to drive the total from its open at 6.5 to its current market consensus of 7.5.

The best vig on the market is with WynnBet at +105 at over 7.5 runs.

Our MLB expert Sean Zerillo is all over that mark.

Meanwhile, sharp bettors are all over the Phillies’ spread and moneyline. The best price on the market for the Phillies to cover their +1.5 run line is with FanDuel at -126.

As aforementioned, Zerillo is bullish on this selection.

The moneyline has a market-best clip of +178 at SuperBook.

Make sure to price shop for this contest. While, for instance, +178 is a great price on the Phillies, the market-worst price at +165 with Tipico is bad in comparison.

Betting with Tipico tonight would cut down on the value by about 1.7%, a substantial degree over the long run.

Tailing the wise guys and fading retail bettors is how you develop a profit in the long run.

In the short term, of course, variance is a massive constraint. You’ll lose a few bets along the way.

The best method to ensure a positive ROI is to bet — with the same unit sizing — each time there’s sharp action on a particular pick.

Expert Picks: Over 7.5 runs (+105) or better | Phillies +1.5 (-126) or better

_InlineAdBlock


Posted

in

by