UConn vs. FIU College Football Betting Prediction: Matchup Between 2 Terrible Teams Means Value on Total

UConn vs. FIU Odds

*Odds via FanDuel as of Saturday afternoon.

Oh boy is this a random college football game.

These two teams are bad. Like, really bad. 

ESPN, for instance, ranks FIU as the worst college football team in the country. UConn is sixth-worst.

By all accounts, this is going to be one of the sloppiest games of college football played this year.

So, in regards to the total, does that mean there’s value on the over or under?

The Action Network has a historically profitable betting algorithm that provides the answer to that question.

The algorithm indicates about 6% in value for one side of the total in this matchup. That means the pick has implied odds that are 6% higher than the odds available to you. Essentially, the line currently has a 6% discount across the market.

Over the long run, if you only bet on lines with at least a 6% betting edge, you’re almost assured to make a profit. In the short term, of course, variance is a constraint.

This game is also one of the most popular college football contests of the day, as our colleague Chase Howell reported earlier today.

UConn vs. FIU Algorithm Prediction

Odds and betting data updated as of 3 p.m. ET.

For this game between two horrible teams, the under is the way to go, according to our models.

The algorithm thinks the total should be closer to 43. Meanwhile, the best price you can get on the market is at u46.5 (-104) with FanDuel.

That pick, as aforementioned, provides a roughly 6% betting edge.

Sharp action drove this line down from an even more valuable mark. The line had opened at a total of 50.

Remember, even small differences in lines make a big difference in the long run. The market-worst price of u46.5 (-110) at BetMGM, for instance, saps about 1.3% of value from this betting edge. That’s enough to lose $13 in value for every $1,000 wagered over the long run.

So make sure to line shop properly before placing a bet using our algorithms.

PRO Picks: Under 46.5 points (-104) or better

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