Sunday’s NFL Week 5 slate isn’t the sexiest from a betting value standpoint, but this is an important point to discuss in more detail.
A large part of being a successful bettor over the long term is knowing how to find smart bets. Perhaps more importantly, it’s about understanding how to lay off when the value simply isn’t there.
This isn’t to say that there aren’t savvy NFL picks available for Sunday’s Week 5 games, however, being disciplined and not putting your bankroll at risk unnecessarily will ensure you’re in an optimal position going forward for when there are those eye-popping edges to grab.
With this in mind, let’s detail Sunday’s best NFL Week 5 picks, which come via:
- Seahawks vs. Saints (1 p.m. ET)
- Bears vs. Vikings (1 p.m. ET)
- Cowboys vs. Rams (4:25 p.m. ET)
NFL Picks for Week 5
*NFL odds as of Sunday morning
Seahawks vs. Saints Pick
1 p.m. ET | FOX
Andy Dalton is expected to start for New Orleans for the second straight week, and the reaction from wiseguys has been a bit surprising.
Despite playing well enough for the Saints to win one week ago in London, Dalton does not have the support of the sharpest NFL bettors in Week 5.
Seattle was available at +6 earlier this week against New Orleans, but smart money has flooded the market to take a position on the Seahawks in this matchup.
Action Labs’ Bet Signals have tracked five separate sharp action indicators on Seattle thus far, explaining why this number had dropped to a consensus to Seahawks +5, and even down to +4.5 in some spots.
PRO Report Pick: Seahawks +5
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Bears vs. Vikings Pick
1 p.m. ET | FOX
The NFL betting model edges aren’t huge for Sunday’s Week 5 slate, but that doesn’t mean they should be ignored by bettors, either.
Chicago is a 7.5-point underdog against NFC North rival Minnesota, and the Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections are showing value with the Bears in this matchup.
Our betting model projects Chicago at +5.9, translating to a 2.9% edge when compared to the widely-available +7.5 spread.
PRO Report Pick: Bears +7.5
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Cowboys vs. Rams Pick
4:25 p.m. ET | FOX
The Cowboys continue to roll with backup quarterback Cooper Rush under center and our NFL PRO Projections suggest another effective game from Dallas’ offense is coming against Los Angeles.
No, this doesn’t mean to take Dallas and the points, but to instead take a position on the Cowboys vs. Rams over.
Our model sets this total at 44.7, offering a 3.2% edge for bettors able to lock in this over at the current line of 42.
PRO Report Pick: Over 42