Bengals vs. Cowboys NFL Prediction: This Spread Pick Returns $19 Profit for Every $100 Wagered Since 2005

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Dallas Cowboys Odds

*Odds via FanDuel as of Sunday morning

The Action Network has developed a betting algorithm using historical data that has returned $19 profit for every $100 wagered since 2005.

That means these types of spread bets have a 19% ROI since the George W. Bush administration.

The algorithm works by targeting specific parameters. One of those parameters for this algorithm involves interpreting public tracking data regarding where people are placing their money across sportsbooks.

That data is also proprietary to the Action Network.

If a team’s metrics and the game’s metrics don’t follow these specific parameters, then the pick doesn’t apply to this betting system.

This type of spread bet has only applied to 257 NFL games since 2005, but it’s been enough to be correct 61% of the time.

If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit this particular betting algorithm, you’d be up about $4,800 — that’s roughly $300 per year.

Compare the 19% ROI to the average annual return of the S&P 500, which has hovered at around 8% for over a century. That index is down about 19% year-to-date. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, for instance, is down about 58% during that same timeframe.

Still, despite similar principles regarding long time horizons and sample sizes, don’t use this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing in the stock market. Sports betting inherently has more variance game-to-game.

The 61% Profitable Betting Algorithm

This betting system targets unpopular teams that had a horrible game last week.

These types of teams tend to be drastically undervalued by the public. And fading retail bettors is elemental in our overall betting philosophy.

The parameters for this system include:

• Team you’d bet on needs to have scored 0 to 9 points last week
• The percent of people betting on this spread across American sportsbooks needs to be 0 to 30%

For Sunday, the Cowboys are receiving only 17% of the public’s love. That’s because Dak Prescott is out, and the retail bettors are incredibly bearish on Cooper Rush as a quarterback.

Still, these systems indicate the team’s spread is drastically undervalued.

The best price on the market is with BetMGM at +7 (-105). If you want to snag the key number of +7.5, you can roll with FanDuel‘s mark, which is juiced to -120.

As mentioned, these types of spread picks have won 61% of the time since 2005.

But while Sunday might be the day to cash in, please do keep in mind that this system applies to roughly 15 NFL games per season.

This is a long-term strategy. In order to maximize your 19% return on investment, make sure to follow through whenever this PRO system provides picks the rest of the season.

Picks: Cowboys +7 (-105) or better | Cowboys +7.5 (-120) or better

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