There’s a prevailing myth in college football that it’s tougher to find best bets in the bigger games. It couldn’t be further than the truth.
Case in point: Texas A&M vs. Miami projections are way off, according to Action Network’s numbers, and it’s one of the most bet games in Week 3.
We see value — monster value, I may add — in the nighttime headliner between the Hurricanes and Aggies.
And it gets even better.
Our data also found edges in WKU vs. Indiana (an early kick!) and another bonus pick we’ll throw in as well.
These are the three A+ rated best bets against the spread according to our betting projections, which also believe that one underdog should actually be the favorite.
Texas A&M vs. Miami Projections
9 p.m. ET
Is there value on Texas A&M at a short number (-6.5) off a loss to Appalachian State?
Our numbers actually don’t think so.
Projections tab the spread vs. Miami more of a coin flip — A&M -1 in fact — producing a huge 15.5% edge and A+ play on the Hurricanes as underdogs.
It’s the top mismatch on Saturday’s card.
Pick: Miami +6.5
WKU vs. Indiana Projections
12 p.m. ET
Indiana’s -6.5, but PRO Projections strongly disagree.
Our numbers think the fair price is Indiana -1.5, creating a 14.7% edge and A+ grade on Western Kentucky plus the points.
Pick: Western Kentucky +6.5
North Texas vs. UNLV Projections
12 p.m. ET
Here’s the bonus play that can’t be overlooked.
UNLV is laying 2.5 points at home across the board; however, projections think the wrong team’s favored.
North Texas is a 2.1-point favorite according to our numbers, offering up a 10.4% edge on the Mean Green plus the points to close out the final A+ recommendation among Week 3 betting spreads.
Pick: North Texas +2.5