NFL Week 10 was certainly an exciting one.
The Vikings beat the Bills in an overtime thriller, the Packers essentially kept their season alive with an upset win over the Cowboys, and the Commanders, as double-digit underdogs, handed the Eagles their first loss.
When surprising or unexpected results occur in the NFL, there’s often a big reaction — potentially an overreaction — across the market the following week.
In order to identify value, savvy bettors can identify these overreactions and take advantage, which is exactly what is happening across Sunday’s NFL Week 11 slate of games.
Let me explain.
NFL Picks for Week 11
*NFL odds as of Sunday morning
Eagles vs Colts Pick
1 p.m. ET | CBS
Philadelphia laid an egg against Washington on Monday Night Football and the market’s sharpest bettors are expecting underperformance again from the Eagles today.
Sure, Philly is between a 6.5- and 7-point favorite over Indy, so this doesn’t necessarily mean that the wiseguys are calling for another upset — just that there is value in taking the points.
This spread was available at Colts +7.5 on Tuesday and savvy bettors have played Indy through the key number of +7 at some shops.
With that said, FanDuel is still offering Indy at a full touchdown, so be sure to shop for the best line and pick off the widely available +7 if tailing the pros.
PRO Report Pick: Colts +7 |
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Bears vs Falcons Pick
1 p.m. ET | FOX
Chicago is a 3-point underdog against Atlanta this afternoon and our NFL PRO Betting Systems suggest the Bears are in a historically profitable spot.
The Bears matchup well according to the Action Network’s Road Dog, Low Total After Bad Season PRO System, which has produced a 241-149-10 (62%) against-the-spread (ATS) record since 2004.
Seventy-nine percent of tickets wagered on this spread have come in on Chicago, and in this instance, the public appears to have pinpointed the right side of this matchup.
PRO Report Pick: Bears +3 |
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Cowboys vs Vikings Pick
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS
Dallas fell short against Green Bay last week, and our tools suggest that the Cowboys are in a prime bounce-back spot against the Vikings, who stole a win against the Bills in Buffalo.
Dak Prescott and company fit the Action Network’s Road Trips With Line Move strategy, which is 109-70-3 (61%) ATS since the start of the 2003 season.
In addition, four — yes, four — of our top NFL bettors are backing Dallas as well, providing another reason to like them to cover this short number against the Vikings.
PRO Report Pick: Cowboys -1.5 |
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.