Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks Odds
| Mystics Odds | -135 |
| Sparks Odds | +115 |
| Over/Under | 162 |
| Date | Tuesday, June 21 |
| Time | 10:30 p.m. ET |
*Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday afternoon
The Action Network has developed a historically profitable betting system that jibes with this WNBA game on Tuesday night.
If you had bet $100 on the moneyline for the 239 WNBA games that have fit this system since 2005, you’d be up about $3,350.
That’s over $215 per year, good for a 14% return on investment (ROI) or 14 cents in profit per dollar wagered over a lengthy sample size.
Only about 15 WNBA contests per season fit this algorithm, which factors in spread data across major American sportsbooks. That data is also proprietary to the Action Network.
Five contests have already occurred this season, in which $100 per game bettors would have made $73, indicating this model still has room to run for the rest of the season before it evens out at the $215 per year profit it’s averaged for the last decade and a half.
These are the other games that have fit this algorithm in 2022:
| Date | Game | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 6/14 | Lynx (+8) vs. Storm | Storm 81, Lynx 79. Win (+.91u) |
| 6/7 | Storm (-8) vs. Dream | Storm 72, Dream 60. Win (+.91u) |
| 5/26 | Sun (-8.5) vs. Wings | Sun 99, Wings 68. Win (+.91u) |
| 5/17 | Fever (PK) vs. Dream | Dream 101, Fever 79. Loss (-1u) |
| 5/13 | Liberty (-6) vs. Fever | Fever 92, Liberty 86. Loss (-1u) |
WNBA Betting System Picks for Tuesday
This algorithm targets losing teams that are underdogs at home.
The home team needs to have lost their last one, two or three games against the spread (ATS). The public tends to fade these types of teams, but sharp bettors understand that ultimately teams return to a roughly 50% mean ATS.
Meanwhile, the team you’d fade needs to have won its last one to four games ATS. Retail bettors love these sorts of teams — the ones on a run. The team needs to have also played at least three games over the last seven days.
In the WNBA, with games typically well spread apart, that’s a substantial amount of gameplay.
Since 2005, these losing home teams have won 58.5% of the time with a return on investment of 14% over a long sample size.
For tonight’s contest between the Mystics and Sparks, this trend fits the Sparks’ spread at +2.5. The best price on the market is with DraftKings at a vig of -110.
While today might be the day to cash in, please keep in mind that this system applies to about 15 WNBA games per year.
It isn’t a get-rich scheme. The 14% ROI reported only averages out over a long sample size.
So, ensure that you’re betting every game that fits this system for the rest of the season in order to maximize that 14% return on investment.
PRO Picks: Sparks +2.5 or better
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