Three WNBA contests jibe with a historically profitable betting system developed by the Action Network that reports a return on investment (ROI) of 35%.
To provide some context, the annual average return of the S&P 500 — roughly the value of the American stock market — has been 8% for about a century. Since the start of the New Year, that index is down roughly 13.5%.
And since Dec. 31, 2020, the S&P 500 has returned just under 11% on investment.
Another reference point: Bitcoin is down about 0.4% since New Year’s Eve 2020.
If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit the WNBA betting algorithm, you’d be up roughly $11,750 since 2005 — that’s about $725 per year.
And so far this year — over a small sample size of eight games — this algorithm has already netted $611. That’s a 76.4% ROI in a month.
Tuesday’s WNBA betting system involves contrarian betting — finding value by going against the public’s prevailing notions.
The three games this betting system is targeting are: the Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparks, the Connecticut Sun vs. Las Vegas Aces and the Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever.
WNBA Betting System Picks for Tuesday
This algorithm fades the public when they bet on moderately- or heavily-favored teams.
The team you’d bet on has to be least a three-point underdog and their spread needs to have decreased in value, as well. So, for instance, the team’s spread would have moved from its open at +4.5 to +7.5.
That ensures you’re fading retail bettors and their inclination to tail overvalued CLV.
The total also must be between 143.5 and 169 in order to temper variance.
All of these aforementioned parameters fits the Wings at a market-best price of +100, the Sun at a market-best of +160 and the Fever at a market-best of +290.
These are the eight games that have fit this system so far this season:
| Date, Game | Result |
|---|---|
| 5/24, Liberty (+170) vs. Lynx | Loss (-1u) |
| 5/24: Wings (+275) vs. Sun | Win (+2.75u) |
| 5/21: Lynx (+110) vs. Wings | Loss (-1u) |
| 5/20: Dream (+100) vs. Mystics | Loss (-1u) |
| 5/19: Wings (+107) vs. Mercury | Win (+1.07u) |
| 5/17: Lynx (+239) vs. Aces | Win (+2.39u) |
| 5/11: Dream (+170) vs. Aces | Win (+1.7u) |
| 5/8: Mystics (+120) vs. Lynx | Win (+1.2u) |
While today might be the day to cash in, keep in mind that this system applies to about 25 WNBA games per year.
It also only wins about 44% of the time — so you’ll lose more individual bets than you’ll win. The algorithm has an incredibly high ROI because the system only targets underdogs — underdogs that lose more often than not.
This is all to say that this system isn’t a get-rich scheme — unless you follow through on each pick. The ROI averages out over a long sample size.
So, ensure that you’re betting every game that fits this system for the rest of the season in order to maximize that 35% return on investment.
PRO Picks: Wings +100 or better | Sun +160 or better | Fever +290 or better
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