heat-vs-celtics-eastern-conference-finals-game-6-odds-predictions-smart-money-pick-for-friday

Heat vs. Celtics Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 Odds, Predictions: Smart Money Pick for Friday

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Odds

Heat Odds +8.5
Celtics Odds -8.5
Over/Under 201.5
Date Friday, May 27
Time 8:30 p.m. ET
Channel TNT

*Odds as of Friday morning, according to FanDuel

Game 6 of this Eastern Conference Finals has sharp bettors targeting one side of the spread, according to the Action Network’s proprietary tracking data.

Our data has discerned that a small group of smart money bettors are slapping a lot of money on one side to cover the spread tonight.

This pick fades the rest of the public.

This side of the spread also fits a historically profitable, against the spread betting algorithm that boasts an impressive 19% return on investment (ROI) since 2005.

Over the last 17 years, if you had wagered $100 per game on the roughly 25 NBA playoff games per year that have fit this betting system, then you’d be up over $5,500 today.

That’s about $325 per playoffs, good for a solid 61% win rate over a lengthy sample size. A win rate of 52.5% is enough to make a profit.

Heat vs. Celtics Pick

Smart money bettors are targeting the Celtics’ spread at a market-best price of -8.5 (-110).

While the market opened at that price, sharp money has been enough to move the line to a market-worst of -9 (-110) at WynnBet.

Meanwhile, the previously mentioned betting system applies to the Celtics’ spread, too.

This algorithm targets playoff favorites that have a ton of sharp and big-money bettors on their spread line.

As aforementioned, this betting system has a 19% ROI since 2005.

Keep in mind that the algorithm applies to about 25 NBA playoff games per year. A 19% return on investment is only applicable when averaging out those picks.

PRO Report Pick: Celtics -8.5 or better

_PromoID=[17487]


Posted

in

by