Two NBA games on Sunday night fit a PRO system that has an 11% return on investment (ROI) since 2005.
Since 2005, if you had wagered on the roughly 45 NBA games per year that have fit this system, you’d be up about $7,000. That’s about $425 per year, good for a solid 57% win rate over a lengthy sample size.
For reference, a success rate of 52.5% is enough to break even.
And of course, an 11% ROI beats a number of other investments in the long run.
The two games that the system incorporates tonight are the Utah Jazz vs. Portland Trail Blazers and the Miami Heat vs. Orlando Magic.
While the Jazz still need a win on Sunday in order to solidify the No. 5 seed in the West, the other three teams involved don’t have all that much to play for. The Heat have already locked down the No. 1 seed in the East. Meanwhile, the Magic and Blazers have been out of the playoff picture since New Year’s.
But edges on these types of moderately uninteresting games are most optimal for you, the reader.
Games with fewer eyeballs give sportsbooks less of an opportunity to fix mis-priced lines — and it also means less of the public are hunting for them. In addition, there are generally fewer sharp bettors targeting contests with low magnitude.
Read further to see what the system is, the theory behind it and how to incorporate it tonight.
11% Return on Investment System Bet
This PRO system fades teams that look poised to tank late in the season — or ones have already given up on their year.
The team is ripe to fade if it is an underdog that has a win percentage of 39% or lower. It must be the 55th game or later, to ensure tanking mode has been fully activated.
The team you’d bet on also must have a win percentage of 48% or above; they don’t have to be elite, but they can’t be a bad team.
As aforementioned, this betting system has netted an average of about $425 per year since 2005.
The Jazz at -17 and the Heat at -9 fit all these parameters.
PRO Picks: Jazz -17 or better | Heat -9 or better
