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Wednesday NBA Odds, Picks, Predictions: Model Projections Targeting Nuggets vs. Pacers, 2 Other Games (March 30)

The NBA playoff push continues Wednesday as we head into the latest slate of games, with 22 teams taking the court across the league.

Fortunately for bettors, our projected edges on these crunch-time games have only grown larger and the Action Network’s NBA PRO model projections have a number of highly graded edges against the spread.

Here are the three biggest projected edges for games in the NBA, according to our PRO models.

Wednesday NBA Model Projections

Odds as of Wednesday morning

Nuggets vs. Pacers

7 p.m. ET

The Nuggets enter their last handful of games likely to end up in the fifth or sixth slot in the NBA standings and that could be a meaningful difference.

Earning the fifth seed in the West might allow Denver to avoid Steph Curry and the Warriors in favor of the Mavericks in the first round. According to our model projections, though, the Nuggets are in for a stiff test in this spot.

The Pacers are a consensus 9.5-point underdog in this contest, but we project them as a 6.5-point dog, giving you a 7.5% edge and an ‘A-‘ grade on the game.

Just 2% of the money wagered in this game is coming in on the Pacers, but they might be a sharp side this evening.

Model Projected Edge: Pacers +9.5

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Hawks vs. Thunder

8 p.m. ET

The best the Hawks will do in the regular season is reach the eighth slot in the East, so they only have to win one play-in game to reach the playoffs. However, they’re secure for the 10th position at worst.

Once again, though, our PRO model projections are looking at the underdogs for value. Oklahoma City is a public favorite in this case, getting 12.5 points against Atlanta, but the PRO line for this game is 9.5, offering a 6.9% edge and ‘B+’ grade.

A Thunder victory would be a real shock, but it’s more likely than oddsmakers are projecting.

Model Projected Edge: Thunder +12.5

Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers

10 p.m. ET

The biggest projected edge on the slate, according to our PRO models, comes in Portland, where the Blazers are taking on the New Orleans Pelicans.

This is another situation where a tiny portion of the public is backing the underdog Trail Blazers to keep this game close (4% of the money wagered), but our projected line here is just short of a full six points shorter than the consensus spread of 14.

That equals a 11.6% edge and ‘A+’ grade, so it can’t get any better according to our PRO projections.

Model Projected Edge: Trail Blazers +14

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