There’s a 61% successful betting system proprietary to The Action Network that targets six games on the NFL’s Week 18 docket.
These six divisional games have a historically-profitable betting system that indicates how you should bet them, especially late in the season.
The betting system dates back to 2005. Had you bet $100 on every game that fit this system since then, you’d have won $6,134 or more than $383 per year.
The system fits these following games this week:
- Chiefs vs. Broncos
- Cowboys vs. Eagles
- Packers vs. Lions
- Bears vs. Vikings
- 49ers vs. Rams
- Seahawks vs. Cardinals
Read further to see what the system is and how you can use it on Sunday.
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NFL System Picks
Our models show late-season divisional games score far fewer points on the aggregate. Divisional opponents are more familiar with each other’s schemes and the data suggests defenses reign supreme in these late-season matchups.
Since 2005, if you had bet the under on every divisional game in Week 11 or afterward — including the postseason — you would have won your bet 61% of the time.
The catch here is that the under needs to be at the key number of 44.5 or above. So while every game is a divisional game in Week 18, nine contests have totals of below 44.5 and don’t qualify for this system.
This story will be updated should any of those non-qualifying games hit 44.5. One contest in particular — Colts vs. Jaguars — opened at 44.5 but has since dipped to a consensus of 44. Again, we’ll monitor for any changes.
The following games fit this 61% successful betting system for Week 18.
The best market price, and which sportsbook, is in parentheses. Odds are updated as of 3 p.m. ET on Saturday afternoon. (All times are ET.)
- Chiefs vs. Broncos (Under 45, -113, BetRivers). Saturday, Jan. 8, 4:30 p.m.
- Cowboys vs. Eagles (Under 44.5, -110, DraftKings). Saturday, Jan. 8, 8:15 p.m.
- Packers vs. Lions (Under 44.5, -110, consensus). Sunday, Jan. 9, 1 p.m.
- Bears vs. Vikings (Under 44.5, -110, PointsBet). Sunday, Jan. 9, 1 p.m.
- 49ers vs. Rams (Under 44.5, -110, consensus). Sunday, Jan. 9, 4:25 p.m.
- Seahawks vs. Cardinals (Under 48.5, -110, DraftKings). Sunday, Jan. 9 4:25 p.m.
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