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Monday Night Football Pick, Prediction: Dolphins vs. Saints Spread Still Showing Model Value

MNF Odds

Dolphins Odds -3
Saints Odds +3
Over/Under 37
Date Monday, Dec. 27
Time 8:15 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

*Odds last updated Monday at 2:15 p.m. ET.

Monday night’s Miami Dolphins vs. New Orleans Saints matchup is unfortunately another game that will be significantly impacted by COVID-19.

New Orleans will be without a handful of key players tonight, including starting quarterback Taysom Hill and backup signal-caller Trevor Siemian, which has had a significant effect on Dolphins vs. Saints odds.

Since opening, the Monday Night Football spread has swung from Saints -3 to Dolphins -3, with the over/under plummeting from 40.5 to 37.

With so much player news and odds movement, what exactly is the smartest way for bettors to approach Dolphins vs. Saints on MNF?

Is the value now with Miami at essentially full strength? Or is New Orleans now undervalued at +3?

The Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections have a very clear answer.

Dolphins vs. Saints Betting Prediction


Even with Ian Book under center for New Orleans, our NFL betting model suggests that this spread has simply moved too far.

The Action Network’s projected spread of Saints +1.9 translates to a 2.8% edge when compared to the widely-available +3 — the most important number in football betting.

Want to increase that edge even further? Scurry on over to our NFL Live Odds Page and find the most affordable vig associated with New Orleans +3.

For example, the Dolphins vs. Saints consensus line is +3 at -105, though PointsBet is even better at +100.

Those five cents may not seem like much, but consistently getting down at the best odds (and vig) possible will have a real effect on your bottom line over the long haul.

PRO Projections Pick: Saints +3

_PromoID=[9669, 10491, 11927]


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