Browns vs. Packers Christmas Day Odds & Picks: How Sharps, Betting Model Are Hitting the Spread, Total & Moneyline

Browns vs. Packers Odds

Even though Christmas Day is usually a day reserved for the NBA, this year it falls on a Saturday — and the NFL has taken advantage.

The Cleveland Browns will play a pivotal game at the Green Bay Packers during the afternoon slot while the Indianapolis Colts face the Arizona Cardinals for the night cap.

And the wiseguys are all over this contest between the Browns and Packers. So are The Action Network’s NFL experts and The Action Network’s betting model.

Read on to see how these metrics think you should potentially bet this Christmas-Day affair.

Browns vs. Packers Sharp Action, Betting Model Prediction, Expert Pick

The Action Network’s PRO system has detected sharp action on Cleveland’s spread at +7.5 and the under 47.

That same system’s detected big money on the under, too.

One of The Action Network’s NFL experts is also picking Cleveland at +7.5 (-115). Importantly, the half-point puts you past the key number of +7, which adds another layer of protection for an otherwise expert-endorsed bet.

Beyond those picks, The Action Network’s models really like Cleveland’s moneyline at +280, too. For reference, the Packers’ moneyline is -365.

Our models indicate this game should be priced more like Cleveland +247, which implies a roughly 13% value-add at its current market price.

Several Browns players that missed last week’s game against the Raiders on the COVID-19 protocol list will suit up against the Packers, including starters quarterback Baker Mayfield, wide receiver Jarvis Landry and right tackle James Hudson III.

That said, it appears the Browns will still be missing running back Kareem Hunt, starting left tackle Jedrick Wills, defensive end Jadeveon Clowney, starting safety Ronnie Harrison Jr. and starting cornerback Greg Newsome II.

Starting center JC Tretter will also miss the Christmas game after being placed on the coronavirus list on Thursday.

Still, these metrics think Cleveland is a good bet on Saturday.

PRO Report Pick (all straight bets): Cleveland +7.5, Cleveland +280 or better, Under 47

_PromoID=[11933, 11924, 12041]