Chiefs vs. Chargers Odds
| Chiefs Odds | -3.5 |
| Chargers Odds | +3.5 |
| Over/Under | 52 |
| Time | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Southern California to take on the Los Angeles Chargers in a game that has massive AFC playoff picture implications.
The winner of this game will take control of the AFC West. And, of course, a division title guarantees at least one home playoff game.
A Chiefs win would also vault them, at least temporarily, into the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
A Chargers win means they only need to beat the Texans, Broncos and Raiders to lock down a No. 1, 2 or 3 seed.
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While the public is backing the Chiefs at -3.5, the sharps and wise guys absolutely love the Chargers at +3.5. Some of those same sharps also like some of the following Justin Herbert player props.
Justin Herbert Most Valuable Passing Player Props
- Passing yards over: 284.5, -115 (FanDuel)
- Passing yards under: 293.5, -115 (BetRivers)
- Passing touchdowns over: 1.5, -182 (FoxBET)
- Passing touchdowns under: 2.5, -215 (BetRivers)
- Pass attempts over: 37.5, -115 (BetMGM)
- Pass attempts under: 37.5, -108 (BetRivers)
- Pass completions over: 25.5, +100 (BetMGM)
- Pass completions under: 25.5, -114 (FanDuel)
- Interceptions over: 0.5, -115 (PointsBet, FanDuel)
- Interceptions under: 0.5, -115 (PointsBet, FanDuel)
Herbert has thrown for more than 284.5 passing yards in seven out of his 13 games this season, which implies these odds should be somewhere around -116. That means FanDuel is pricing its odds on Herbert’s passing yards almost exactly in line with historical precedent.
Meanwhile, the under on that prop has implied odds of roughly +117, meaning there’s limited value on BetRivers’ pricing.
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Herbert has thrown for two or more TDs in nine of 13 games this season, which implies the odds should be closer to around -225.
He’s also thrown for two or more TDs in each of his last four games.
FOXBet’s -182 vig on Herbert to throw for at least two touchdowns has by far the best value on this slate. Throw a sprinkle on that — and on Austin Ekeler to score a TD at -150. The rationale for that player prop is laid out in this article below.
