Patriots vs. Falcons Odds
| Patriots Odds | -7 |
| Falcons Odds | +7 |
| Over/Under | 47 |
| Date | Thursday, Nov. 18 |
| Time | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | Fox |
*Odds as of Thursday night at 6:30 p.m. ET.
Ready or not, here they come!
With rookie quarterback Mac Jones growing in front of our eyes, the New England Patriots have ripped off four straight wins and now sit just a half-game behind the Buffalo Bills in the AFC East.
And even if the Patriots don’t climb above the Bills in their division, Bill Belichick’s team is still very much in the hunt for an AFC Wild Card.
On the other hand we have the Atlanta Falcons, who, somehow, are only a half-game out of the NFC playoff picture despite a 4-5 record.
Clearly the Patriots should be favored in this game, which they are, but should bettors ride New England’s momentum or back the home underdog Falcons on Thursday Night Football?
Thankfully, two historically-profitable strategies from our NFL PRO Betting Systems provide a very clear answer.
Patriots at Falcons System Picks
With the Patriots getting so much mainstream media hype, it’s no surprise to see New England landing 73% of the spread tickets for Thursday Night Football to this point.
With the betting action extremely one-sided, the Patriots at Falcons spread has pushed from its opener of New England -4 up to -7 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
However, with the market settled (for now), The Action Network’s NFL PRO Betting Systems suggest that the smart play is buying back the Falcons getting almost a touchdown at home.
To start, Atlanta is a match for our Bet Against Public After Bad Game PRO System, which has produced a 155-97-4 (62%) against-the-spread (ATS) record since 2003 by pinpointing teams getting very little public support after coming off a poor offensive performance.
The Falcons also fit the criteria of our Fade Covering Teams PRO System, which is more about fading overvalued ATS teams, like the Patriots.
This spread strategy has hit a 56% rate since 2005, as well.
PRO System Pick: Falcons +6.5 or better
_PromoID=[9513, 9509, 10292, 10294]