Smart bettors understand you oftentimes have to gut out some of the less-appealing games on the board. It’s where some of the best value lies.
Take the Orlando Magic vs. Detroit Pistons showdown on Saturday for example.
This one features teams a combined 1-9 throughout the early stages of the season; nobody wants to bet them.
Naturally, one of our top-rated NBA betting models crunched the numbers, spitting out just one, lone game on Saturday’s board: this one.
This particular trend in our system has cashed at a 55.2% lifetime rate. It most recently called Oklahoma City’s outright win as a 5.5-point underdog to the Lakers on Wednesday night.
Here’s the model’s biggest edge for Saturday, a matchup that will draw the public’s interest with the potential debut of No. 1 overall pick Cade Cunningham.
_PromoID=[8148]
NBA Saturday Betting System Picks
*Odds and betting data as of Saturday morning
Our Tickets vs. Money PRO system recommends a play on the Detroit Pistons -6 at home Saturday.
It emphasizes a disparity between the betting ticket count vs. the overall handle, and that’s exactly what we’re seeing: As of Saturday morning, 60% of the wagers are on Orlando, but 72% of the money’s on Detroit.
This particular model has produced a 7.5% return on investment; bettors playing every selection with a $100 wager since its start would be up north of $6,000.
The Pistons picked up their first cover on Thursday in a 110-102 loss to the 76ers. However, Detroit is still yet to nab a win.
A big part of that’s due to the schedule out of the gates.
The Pistons opened the campaign against an improved Bulls team, then went on the road for three straight against Chicago, Atlanta and Philadelphia — all teams projected for superb seasons. Detroit also faced those teams without its prize asset in Cunningham.
We’ll fade Orlando, which is just 2-5 against the spread the last seven on the road and 7-18-1 the last 26 overall dating back to last season.
Model Pick: Pistons -6